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Accrington ST v Crawley Town

English League Two
Accrington ST
3:2
Full time
Crawley Town

Accrington ST v Crawley Town in English League Two ended 3:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Accrington ST v Crawley Town

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Accrington ST at 40.0% - the match finished 3:2, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Accrington ST X 2 · Crawley Town Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 50.0% 27.7% 22.3% Home win · Accrington ST ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 40.0% 24.9% 35.1% Home win · Accrington ST ✔ Correct
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Crawley Town ✘ Missed
Final score 3:2 Home win · Accrington ST
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.00 on a Accrington ST win, 3.48 on the draw and 3.44 on a Crawley Town win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Accrington ST win 2.00 2.06 Unibet 50% 40%
Draw 3.48 3.70 Betfair 28.7% 24.9%
Crawley Town win 3.44 3.59 Pinnacle 29.1% 35.1%
Over 2.5 goals 1.74 1.80 Betfair 57.5% 59%
Under 2.5 goals 2.03 2.10 Pinnacle 49.3% 41%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.63 1.67 Betfair 61.3% 55.9%
Both teams to score - No 2.14 2.20 Bet365 46.7% 44.1%
Updated: 04.09.2026 04:38 · Average odds across 12 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Accrington ST v Crawley Town

  1. 4′Charlie Caton · Goal
  2. 20′Danilo Orsi · Goal
  3. 25′Donald Love · Substitution (off: Aidan borland)
  4. 30′Devon matthews · Yellow card
  5. 42′Farrend Rawson · Yellow card
  6. 45+3′Priestley Farquharson · Yellow card
  7. 53′Shaun Whalley · Yellow card
  8. 55′Charlie Caton · Goal
  9. 58′Akinwale Joseph Odimayo · Substitution (off: Dylan Morgan)
  10. 58′Malcolm Ebiowei · Substitution (off: Dion Pereira)
  11. 59′Louie Watson · Substitution (off: Kellan Gordon)
  12. 61′Klaudio Krasniqi · Yellow card
  13. 63′Devon matthews · Goal (assist: Josh Woods)
  14. 66′Danilo Orsi · Substitution (off: Pemi Aderoju)
  15. 72′Klaudio Krasniqi · Substitution (off: Gianmarco biase di)
  16. 73′David Tutonda · Yellow card
  17. 74′Shaun Whalley · Substitution (off: Conor Grant)
  18. 79′Pemi Aderoju · Goal (assist: Kellan Gordon)
  19. 82′Charlie Caton · Substitution (off: Cole Stockton)
  20. 83′Tyler Walton · Substitution (off: Alex Henderson)

Match statistics: Accrington ST v Crawley Town

Statistic Accrington ST Crawley Town
Possession 37% 63%
Shots on target 4 5
Total shots 10 15
Shots off target 5 7
Blocked shots 1 3
Corners 1 4
Fouls 21 8
Offsides 2 0
Yellow cards 4 2
Red cards 0 0
Saves 3 1
Passes 251 450

Line-ups: Accrington ST v Crawley Town

Accrington ST 3-4-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 L. Moulden 6.3
  2. 2 D. Love 6.2
  3. 5 F. Rawson 6.1
  4. 6 L. Coyle 6.3
  5. 7 S. Whalley 5.4
  6. 17 D. Matthews 6.5
  7. 18 C. Caton 9.2
  8. 22 J. Anderson 6.4
  9. 23 T. Walton 6.5
  10. 33 D. Tutonda 6.2
  11. 39 J. Woods 5.8
Substitutes (7)
  1. 8 C. Grant 6.1
  2. 10 Alex Henderson 6.0
  3. 13 C. Stockton 6.6
  4. 16 Aidan Borland 6.0
  5. 21 J. Rogerson
  6. 27 J. Catesby
  7. 30 C. Warren

Crawley Town 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 5 C. Barker 6.5
  2. 6 P. Farquharson 5.6
  3. 7 M. Ebiowei 6.0
  4. 8 L. Watson 6.3
  5. 9 D. Orsi 7.5
  6. 17 Osman Kamara 6.8
  7. 20 J. Arthurs 6.3
  8. 22 A. Adeyemo 6.4
  9. 24 A. Odimayo 6.0
  10. 25 J. Fourcroy 5.9
  11. 31 J. Izquierdo 5.7
Substitutes (6)
  1. 2 K. Gordon 6.3
  2. 11 P. Aderoju 7.1
  3. 13 N. Michalski
  4. 14 G. Di Biase 6.4
  5. 16 J. Russell
  6. 19 D. Pereira 6.1

Form and head-to-head: Accrington ST v Crawley Town

Accrington ST

LDLLD

Crawley Town

LDLWL

English League Two standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Barnet 6 3 3 0 +5 12 WDDDW
2 Bristol Rovers 6 4 0 2 +4 12 LWWWW
3 York 6 3 2 1 +5 11 WDLWD
4 Cheltenham 6 3 2 1 +3 11 WDWDL
5 Walsall 6 2 4 0 +4 10 DDDWD
6 Grimsby 6 2 4 0 +3 10 WDDDD
7 Fleetwood Town 6 2 4 0 +3 10 DWDDD
8 Crewe Alexandra 6 2 4 0 +2 10 DDDDW
9 Swindon Town 6 3 1 2 -2 10 LWWLW
10 Tranmere 6 2 3 1 +2 9 LWDDD
11 Gillingham 6 2 3 1 +2 9 WWDDD
12 Chesterfield 6 2 2 2 0 8 WDDLW
13 Colchester 6 2 2 2 -2 8 DLLWW
14 Oldham 6 2 1 3 +1 7 LLDWL
15 Salford City 6 2 1 3 -2 7 DWWLL
16 Rotherham 6 1 3 2 -1 6 DLDWD
17 Northampton 6 1 3 2 -2 6 LWDDL
18 Shrewsbury Town 6 2 0 4 -6 6 WLLWL
19 Newport County 6 1 2 3 -1 5 DLLDL
20 Exeter City 6 1 2 3 -1 5 LDDLW
21 Accrington ST 6 1 2 3 -3 5 LWDLL
22 Port Vale 6 1 2 3 -4 5 WLLDD
23 Crawley Town 6 1 1 4 -5 4 LLDLW
24 Rochdale 6 1 1 4 -5 4 DLWLL

Managers: Accrington ST v Crawley Town

J. Doolan
Accrington STManagerJ. DoolanEngland

Match information: Accrington ST v Crawley Town

Kick-off
·
Competition
English League Two
Round
Regular Season – 5