ADO '20 v Excelsior Maassluis

KNVB Cup

ADO '20 v Excelsior Maassluis in KNVB Cup The match ended 1–1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics including xG, and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: ADO '20 v Excelsior Maassluis

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · ADO '20 at 44.0% - the match finished 1:1 (decided on penalties), so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · ADO '20 X 2 · Excelsior Maassluis Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 47.9% 26.7% 25.4% Home win · ADO '20 ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 44.0% 18.7% 37.4% Home win · ADO '20 ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Excelsior Maassluis ✘ Missed
Final score 1:1 (decided on penalties) Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.58 on a ADO '20 win, 3.45 on the draw and 2.44 on a Excelsior Maassluis win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
ADO '20 win 2.58 2.83 1xBet 38.8% 44%
Draw 3.45 3.70 Dafabet 29% 18.7%
Excelsior Maassluis win 2.44 2.60 Bet365 41% 37.4%
Over 2.5 goals 1.64 1.69 Marathonbet 61% 59.2%
Under 2.5 goals 2.10 2.20 Bet365 47.6% 40.8%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.53 1.55 Marathonbet 65.4% 51.2%
Both teams to score - No 2.33 2.40 10Bet 42.9% 48.8%
Updated: 01.09.2026 16:21 · Average odds across 12 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: ADO '20 v Excelsior Maassluis

  1. 23′ · Goal
  2. 69′ · Red card
  3. 70′M. Tahiri · Goal
  4. 120+1′ · Penalty
  5. 120+1′ · Penalty
  6. 120+2′ · Penalty missed
  7. 120+2′ · Penalty
  8. 120+3′ · Penalty
  9. 120+3′ · Penalty
  10. 120+4′ · Penalty
  11. 120+4′ · Penalty
  12. 120+5′ · Penalty
  13. 120+5′ · Penalty

Form and head-to-head: ADO '20 v Excelsior Maassluis

ADO '20

LWDLW
  • HVV Scherpenzeel0–1L
  • ASVZW6–4W
  • HStaphorst0–0D
  • AEemdijk1–4L
  • HHercules3–1W

Excelsior Maassluis

WDLWD
  • AAchilles Veen3–2W
  • HNoordwijk0–0D
  • AFC Lisse0–1L
  • HGroene Ster3–1W
  • AUDI '191–1D

KNVB Beker standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Managers: ADO '20 v Excelsior Maassluis

R. van der Mije
ADO '20ManagerR. van der MijeNetherlands
Cláudio Braga
Excelsior MaassluisManagerCláudio BragaPortugal

Match information: ADO '20 v Excelsior Maassluis

Kick-off
·
Competition
KNVB Cup
Round
1st Preliminary Round