AEK Larnaca v Pafos FC

0:1

Full time

AEK Larnaca v Pafos FC in Cypriot 1. Division ended 0:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: AEK Larnaca v Pafos FC

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Pafos FC at 41.8% - the match finished 0:1, so the prediction was correct.

Model	1 · AEK Larnaca	X	2 · Pafos FC	Prediction	Result
ELO + Poisson	46.9%	23.6%	29.6%	Home win · AEK Larnaca	✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)	32.5%	25.7%	41.8%	Away win · Pafos FC	✔ Correct
Final score	0:1			Away win · Pafos FC

Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.33 on a AEK Larnaca win, 3.23 on the draw and 2.86 on a Pafos FC win (closing odds).

Market	Avg odds	Best	Market %	Model %
AEK Larnaca win	2.33	2.37 1xBet	42.9%	32.5%
Draw	3.23	3.28 Marathonbet	31%	25.7%
Pafos FC win	2.86	2.89 1xBet	35%	41.8%
Over 2.5 goals	1.94	1.95 Bet365	51.5%	46.7%
Under 2.5 goals	1.83	1.85 Bet365	54.6%	53.4%
Both teams to score - Yes	1.74	1.80 Bet365	57.5%	49.6%
Both teams to score - No	1.98	2.02 1xBet	50.5%	50.4%

Updated: 11.09.2026 05:34 · Average odds across 4 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: AEK Larnaca v Pafos FC

12′D. Quina · Yellow card
32′I. Sunjic · Yellow card
59′K. Pileas · Substitution (off: B. Olivan)
59′D. Ivanovic · Substitution (off: Y. Chacon)
59′J. Repas · Substitution (off: K. Mrabti)
60′K. Sema · Substitution (off: Biel)
60′Lele · Substitution (off: V. Dragomir)
62′V. Dragomir · Goal
68′A. Trica · Substitution (off: N. Andereggen)
73′N. Ioannou · Substitution (off: Y. Zague)
76′N. Moumi Ngamaleu · Substitution (off: Guga)
76′D. Quina · Substitution (off: Anderson Silva)
78′I. Pankov · Substitution (off: C. Kyriakou)
90+2′Miramon · Yellow card

Line-ups: AEK Larnaca v Pafos FC

AEK Larnaca 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

3 Mike Van der Hoorn
6 Ivan Chavdarov Pankov
7 Gus Ledes
9 Đorđe Ivanović
14 Amor Layouni
15 Hrvoje Miličević
17 Kostas Pileas
19 Atanas Trică
20 Jan Repas
21 Jorge Miramón
92 Alberto Paleari

Substitutes (12)

2 Petros Ioannou
5 Brian Oliván
10 Yerson Chacón
22 Godswill Ekpolo
23 Sven Köhler
25 Chambos Kyriakou
28 Kerim Mrabti
29 Giorgos Naoum
33 Nicolas Andereggen
44 Zacharias Adoni
51 Andreas Paraskevas
99 Dimitris Dimitriou

Pafos FC 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

4 David Luiz
5 David Goldar
7 Bruno
8 Domingos Quina
12 Ken Sema
13 Nicolas Moumie Ngamaleu
14 Nikolas Ioannou
18 Lelê
26 Ivan Šunjić
88 Pêpê
99 Radosław Majecki

Substitutes (12)

2 Yoram Zague
3 Samy Mmaee
6 Guga
17 Afonso Patrao
20 Biel
23 Jonatás Noro
30 Vlad Dragomir
33 Anderson Silva
60 Christos Efzona
61 Melinos Kais
71 Michalis Papastylianou
82 Petros Petrou

Form and head-to-head: AEK Larnaca v Pafos FC

AEK Larnaca

WWWLL

6 Sep 2026ANea Salamis4–1W
29 Aug 2026HApoel Nicosia3–1W
30 Jul 2026ABeitar Jerusalem3–2W
23 Jul 2026HBeitar Jerusalem0–1L
19 Mar 2026HCrystal Palace1–2L

Pafos FC

DWWWD

7 Sep 2026HOlympiakos0–0D
3 September 2026AOmonia Nicosia1–0W
30 Aug 2026AKarmiotissa3–0W
27 Aug 2026HDinamo City4–2W
20 Aug 2026ADinamo City1–1D

Cypriot 1. Division standings

Current competition standings
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Omonia 29is Maiou	2	1	1	0	+3	4	DW
2	Pafos FC	1	1	0	0	+3	3	W
3	AEK Larnaca	1	1	0	0	+2	3	W
4	AEL	1	1	0	0	+2	3	W
5	Nea Salamis	1	0	1	0	0	1	D
6	Olympiakos	1	0	1	0	0	1	D
7	Apollon Limassol	1	0	1	0	0	1	D
8	Aris	1	0	1	0	0	1	D
9	Omonia Nicosia	1	0	1	0	0	1	D
10	Omonia Aradippou	1	0	1	0	0	1	D
11	Karmiotissa	2	0	1	1	-3	1	DL
12	Apoel Nicosia	1	0	0	1	-2	0	L
13	Anorthosis	1	0	0	1	-2	0	L
14	Digenis Ypsonas	1	0	0	1	-3	0	L

Managers: AEK Larnaca v Pafos FC

AEK LarnacaManagerRuben Selles

Pafos FCManagerRicardo Sa Pinto

Match information: AEK Larnaca v Pafos FC

Kick-off: Sun 13 Sep · 16:00
Competition: Cypriot 1. Division
Round: Regular Season – 3
Venue: AEK Arena – George Karapatakis
City: Larnaca
Surface: grass
Capacity: 8,058