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Albirex Niigata v Montedio Yamagata

J2 League
Albirex Niigata
1:0
Full time
Montedio Yamagata

Albirex Niigata v Montedio Yamagata in J2 League ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Albirex Niigata v Montedio Yamagata

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Albirex Niigata at 46.4% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Albirex Niigata X 2 · Montedio Yamagata Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 52.3% 26.1% 21.7% Home win · Albirex Niigata ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 46.4% 24.3% 29.3% Home win · Albirex Niigata ✔ Correct
Data Providers 35.0% 35.0% 30.0% Home win · Albirex Niigata ✔ Correct
Final score 1:0 Home win · Albirex Niigata
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.25 on a Albirex Niigata win, 3.25 on the draw and 2.91 on a Montedio Yamagata win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Albirex Niigata win 2.25 2.29 Pinnacle 44.4% 46.4%
Draw 3.25 3.47 Pinnacle 30.8% 24.3%
Montedio Yamagata win 2.91 3.05 Dafabet 34.4% 29.3%
Over 2.5 goals 1.96 2.10 Bet365 51% 55.6%
Under 2.5 goals 1.79 1.85 Pinnacle 55.9% 44.4%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.75 1.83 Bet365 57.1% 55.7%
Both teams to score - No 1.94 2.00 1xBet 51.5% 44.3%
Updated: 09.09.2026 23:26 · Average odds across 7 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Albirex Niigata v Montedio Yamagata

  1. 46′R. Maeda · Goal (assist: K. Kuwayama)
  2. 46′K. Enomoto · Substitution (off: A. S. Disaro)
  3. 55′A. S. Disaro · Yellow card
  4. 61′K. Kasai · Substitution (off: Y. Wakatsuki)
  5. 62′A. Kawai · Substitution (off: K. Okamoto)
  6. 67′R. Maeda · Substitution (off: Y. Onishi)
  7. 67′C. Konagaya · Substitution (off: T. Kato)
  8. 70′S. Doi · Substitution (off: R. Yokoyama)
  9. 73′K. Kuwayama · Substitution (off: Iury Castilho)
  10. 73′F. Hayakawa · Substitution (off: Y. Hoshi)
  11. 84′J. Takahashi · Substitution (off: K. Mori)
  12. 84′R. Kida · Substitution (off: Yoshio Kaina)
  13. 84′H. Nodake · Substitution (off: T. Terayama)

Form and head-to-head: Albirex Niigata v Montedio Yamagata

Albirex Niigata

LWWLW
  • AYokohama FC0–5L
  • AThespakusatsu Gunma2–1W
  • AIwaki3–2W
  • HKagoshima United0–4L
  • HFujieda MYFC1–0W

Montedio Yamagata

WLWLW
  • ATochigi SC1–0W
  • HVentforet Kofu1–2L
  • AImabari3–0W
  • HFujieda MYFC3–5L
  • HYokohama FC2–0W

J2 League standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Omiya Ardija 6 3 3 0 +5 12 DDDWW
2 Shonan Bellmare 6 3 2 1 +1 11 WLDDW
3 Tochigi City 6 3 1 2 +6 10 DWLWW
4 Kataller Toyama 6 3 1 2 +6 10 DWLWW
5 Yokohama FC 6 3 1 2 +4 10 LWDLW
6 Vegalta Sendai 5 3 1 1 +4 10 WWWDL
7 Fujieda MYFC 6 3 1 2 +3 10 LDWLW
8 Jubilo Iwata 6 3 1 2 +1 10 WLWWL
9 Montedio Yamagata 5 3 0 2 +5 9 LWWLW
10 Albirex Niigata 5 3 0 2 -3 9 LWWWL
11 Blaublitz Akita 6 2 2 2 +1 8 WDLWL
12 Sagan Tosu 6 2 2 2 +1 8 LWDLD
13 Ventforet Kofu 6 2 1 3 -4 7 LWWLD
14 Tokushima Vortis 6 2 1 3 -4 7 LWWLD
15 Vanraure Hachinohe 6 2 1 3 -5 7 LDWLL
16 Oita Trinita 6 1 3 2 +1 6 DDLWD
17 Iwaki 6 2 0 4 -4 6 WLLLL
18 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 6 1 2 3 -4 5 WLLDD
19 Imabari 6 1 1 4 -8 4 WDLLL
20 Consadole Sapporo 5 1 0 4 -6 3 LLLLW

Match information: Albirex Niigata v Montedio Yamagata

Kick-off
·
Competition
J2 League
Round
Regular Season – 6
Venue
Denka Big Swan Stadium
City
Niigata
Surface
grass
Capacity
41,684