Alianza Atletico v Comerciantes Unidos in Primera División ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Alianza Atletico v Comerciantes Unidos
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Alianza Atletico at 51.7% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Alianza Atletico
X
2 · Comerciantes Unidos
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
59.2%
23.6%
17.3%
Home win · Alianza Atletico
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
51.7%
22.6%
25.8%
Home win · Alianza Atletico
✔ Correct
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · Alianza Atletico
✔ Correct
Final score
2:1
Home win · Alianza Atletico
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.58 on a Alianza Atletico win, 3.90 on the draw and 5.21 on a Comerciantes Unidos win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Alianza Atletico win
1.58
1.62William Hill
63.3%
51.7%
Draw
3.90
4.03Pinnacle
25.6%
22.6%
Comerciantes Unidos win
5.21
5.75Bet365
19.2%
25.8%
Over 2.5 goals
1.75
1.80Bet365
57.1%
65.1%
Under 2.5 goals
2.02
2.06Pinnacle
49.5%
34.9%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.76
1.80Bet365
56.8%
64.6%
Both teams to score - No
1.95
2.00Betfair
51.3%
35.4%
Updated: 17.09.2026 12:16 · Average odds across 8 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Alianza Atletico v Comerciantes Unidos
10′⚽Jean Olivares · Goal (assist: Matías Eric Sen)