Almería v Cádiz in La Liga 2 ended 3:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Almería v Cádiz
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Almería at 59.8% - the match finished 3:2, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Almería
X
2 · Cádiz
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
54.1%
25.9%
20.0%
Home win · Almería
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
59.8%
20.2%
20.0%
Home win · Almería
✔ Correct
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · Almería
✔ Correct
Final score
3:2
Home win · Almería
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.48 on a Almería win, 4.27 on the draw and 6.39 on a Cádiz win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Almería win
1.48
1.50Pinnacle
67.6%
59.8%
Draw
4.27
4.481xBet
23.4%
20.2%
Cádiz win
6.39
6.841xBet
15.6%
20%
Over 2.5 goals
1.73
1.79Pinnacle
57.8%
57.9%
Under 2.5 goals
2.08
2.171xBet
48.1%
42.1%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.82
1.83Bet365
54.9%
54%
Both teams to score - No
1.87
1.91William Hill
53.5%
46%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:22 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Almería v Cádiz
5′🟨Dilan Zárate · Yellow card
8′🟨Stefan Džodić · Yellow card
13′⚽Javier Muñoz Jiménez · Goal (assist: Brian Cipenga)
25′⚽Javier Castro · Goal (assist: Antonio Cordero)
32′🟨Brian Cipenga · Yellow card
35′🟨Francisco Javier García Pimienta · Yellow card
36′⚽Miguel De La Fuente · Goal (assist: Brian Cipenga)