Amorebieta v Arosa

Segunda División RFEF – Group 1 Sun 6 Sep

2:2

Full time

Amorebieta v Arosa in Segunda División RFEF – Group 1 ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Amorebieta v Arosa

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Amorebieta at 44.7% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.

Model	1 · Amorebieta	X	2 · Arosa	Prediction	Result
ELO + Poisson	32.4%	31.0%	36.7%	Away win · Arosa	✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)	44.7%	17.5%	37.8%	Home win · Amorebieta	✘ Missed
Final score	2:2			Draw

Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.07 on a Amorebieta win, 2.97 on the draw and 3.34 on a Arosa win (closing odds).

Market	Avg odds	Best	Market %	Model %
Amorebieta win	2.07	2.18 Pinnacle	48.3%	44.7%
Draw	2.97	3.20 Bet365	33.7%	17.5%
Arosa win	3.34	3.58 1xBet	29.9%	37.8%
Over 2.5 goals	2.24	2.33 Pinnacle	44.6%	61.3%
Under 2.5 goals	1.54	1.60 Bet365	64.9%	38.7%
Both teams to score - Yes	1.89	1.95 Marathonbet	52.9%	51.2%
Both teams to score - No	1.68	1.74 1xBet	59.5%	48.8%

Updated: 06.09.2026 10:51 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Amorebieta v Arosa

21′J. Maceira · Goal
45+1′J. Morales · Goal
69′Gabri Palmas · Goal
90+2′Reka · Goal

Form and head-to-head: Amorebieta v Arosa

Amorebieta

13 Sep 2026ABergantiños0–1L

Arosa

13 Sep 2026HGernika0–4L

Segunda División RFEF – Group 1 standings

Current competition standings
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Marino de Luanco	1	1	0	0	+3	3	W
2	Coruxo	1	1	0	0	+2	3	W
3	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	1	0	0	+1	3	W
4	Real Oviedo II	1	1	0	0	+1	3	W
5	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3	W
6	Portugalete	1	1	0	0	+1	3	W
7	Sestao River	1	1	0	0	+1	3	W
8	Amorebieta	1	0	1	0	0	1	D
9	Gernika	1	0	1	0	0	1	D
10	Arosa	1	0	1	0	0	1	D
11	Bergantiños	1	0	1	0	0	1	D
12	Basconia	1	0	0	1	-1	0	L
13	Llanera	1	0	0	1	-1	0	L
14	Eibar II	1	0	0	1	-1	0	L
15	Racing Santander II	1	0	0	1	-1	0	L
16	Atlético Astorga	1	0	0	1	-1	0	L
17	Deportivo Alavés II	1	0	0	1	-2	0	L
18	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-3	0	L

Match information: Amorebieta v Arosa

Kick-off: Sun 6 Sep · 10:00
Competition: Segunda División RFEF – Group 1
Round: Group 1 – 1