Ards v Rathfriland

1:0

Full time

Ards v Rathfriland in Northern Irish Championship ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Ards v Rathfriland

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Ards at 39.9% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was correct.

Model	1 · Ards	X	2 · Rathfriland	Prediction	Result
ELO + Poisson	46.3%	25.2%	28.5%	Home win · Ards	✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)	39.9%	26.3%	33.8%	Home win · Ards	✔ Correct
Final score	1:0			Home win · Ards

Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Form and head-to-head: Ards v Rathfriland

Ards

LLLWD

4 Sep 2026AAnnagh United1–2L
28 Aug 2026HQueen's University0–3L
22 Aug 2026HLoughgall1–2L
15 August 2026AWarrenpoint Town3–1W
11 August 2026HDundela2–2D

Rathfriland

LLLLL

5 Sep 2026HInstitute0–2L
28 Aug 2026AGlenavon FC1–3L
22 Aug 2026ANewington Youth0–4L
15 August 2026HNewry City AFC1–2L
11 August 2026AAnnagh United2–4L

Northern Irish Championship standings

Current competition standings
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Newington Youth	6	5	1	0	+10	16	WWWWD
2	H&W Welders	6	5	0	1	+9	15	WWWWL
3	Queen's University	6	4	1	1	+12	13	WWWLW
4	Annagh United	6	4	1	1	+4	13	WWWDW
5	Glenavon FC	6	3	1	2	+5	10	LWDWW
6	Newry City AFC	6	3	1	2	-2	10	DWLWL
7	Ballinamallard United	6	3	0	3	+2	9	WLWLW
8	Loughgall	6	2	3	1	-2	9	LDWDD
9	Ards	6	2	1	3	-1	7	LLLWD
10	Warrenpoint Town	6	2	1	3	-1	7	LDWLW
11	Institute	6	2	1	3	-3	7	WLLDL
12	Moyola Park	6	2	1	3	-4	7	LWLWL
13	Dundela	6	1	3	2	-2	6	WLLDD
14	Armagh City	6	0	3	3	-4	3	DLDLL
15	Strabane Athletic	6	1	0	5	-10	3	LLLLW
16	Rathfriland	6	0	0	6	-13	0	LLLLL

Match information: Ards v Rathfriland

Kick-off: Sat 12 Sep · 14:00
Competition: Northern Irish Championship
Round: Regular Season – 7