Arminia Bielefeld v St. Pauli

2. Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld v St. Pauli in 2. Bundesliga ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Arminia Bielefeld v St. Pauli

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Arminia Bielefeld at 51.2% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Arminia Bielefeld X 2 · St. Pauli Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 49.6% 23.4% 27.0% Home win · Arminia Bielefeld ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 51.2% 22.2% 26.6% Home win · Arminia Bielefeld ✘ Missed
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Arminia Bielefeld ✘ Missed
Final score 2:2 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.32 on a Arminia Bielefeld win, 3.52 on the draw and 2.79 on a St. Pauli win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Arminia Bielefeld win 2.32 2.44 Pinnacle 43.1% 51.2%
Draw 3.52 3.74 Pinnacle 28.4% 22.2%
St. Pauli win 2.79 3.10 Superbet 35.8% 26.6%
Over 2.5 goals 1.61 1.65 Betano 62.1% 60.5%
Under 2.5 goals 2.27 2.38 Pinnacle 44.1% 39.5%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.50 1.55 William Hill 66.7% 58.8%
Both teams to score - No 2.43 2.55 Betfair 41.2% 41.2%
Updated: 04.09.2026 16:40 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Arminia Bielefeld v St. Pauli

  1. 13′Jannik Rochelt · Goal (assist: Jonas Thomas Kersken)
  2. 20′Taichi Hara · Goal (assist: David Nemeth)
  3. 35′Marvin Mehlem · Yellow card
  4. 45′Martijn Kaars · Substitution (off: Abdoulie Ceesay)
  5. 45′Branimir Hrgota · Substitution (off: Connor Metcalfe)
  6. 47′Tomoya Ando · Yellow card
  7. 51′Joel Grodowski · Goal
  8. 56′Eric Smith · Yellow card
  9. 65′Abdoulie Ceesay · Goal (assist: Arkadiusz Pyrka)
  10. 66′Jannik Rochelt · Substitution (off: David Min)
  11. 66′monju thaddaus momuluh · Substitution (off: Leon Jensen)
  12. 76′Taichi Hara · Substitution (off: Youssoupha Niang)
  13. 76′Marvin Mehlem · Substitution (off: Sam Schreck)
  14. 81′Henri Koudossou · Substitution (off: Benjamin boakye)
  15. 81′Marius Worl · Substitution (off: Till Wegener)
  16. 88′Arkadiusz Pyrka · Yellow card
  17. 88′Maximilian Bauer · Yellow card
  18. 89′Mathias Rasmussen · Substitution (off: Samuel Klein)

Match statistics: Arminia Bielefeld v St. Pauli

Statistic Arminia Bielefeld St. Pauli
Possession 43% 57%
Shots on target 2 5
Total shots 9 8
Shots off target 5 2
Blocked shots 2 1
Corners 3 5
Fouls 12 14
Offsides 1 1
Yellow cards 2 3
Red cards 0 0
Saves 3 0
Passes 461 604

Line-ups: Arminia Bielefeld v St. Pauli

Arminia Bielefeld 5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 J. Kersken 6.5
  2. 5 M. Bauer 6.4
  3. 6 M. Mehlem 6.4
  4. 7 H. Koudossou 6.6
  5. 10 J. Rochelt 6.8
  6. 11 J. Grodowski 7.7
  7. 14 M. Momuluh 5.8
  8. 17 A. Sicker 6.4
  9. 19 M. Großer 6.7
  10. 21 S. Russo 6.2
  11. 38 M. Wörl 6.9
Substitutes (9)
  1. 3 J. Felix
  2. 8 S. Schreck 6.1
  3. 9 D. Min 6.5
  4. 18 L. Oppermann
  5. 27 Benjamin Bediako Boakye 6.7
  6. 29 T. Handwerker
  7. 30 I. Young
  8. 31 L. Jensen 6.0
  9. 42 T. Wegener 6.1

St. Pauli 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 B. Voll 6.1
  2. 4 D. Nemeth 6.9
  3. 6 M. Mathisen 7.1
  4. 8 E. Smith 6.6
  5. 10 B. Hrgota 5.8
  6. 11 A. Pyrka 6.5
  7. 15 T. Ando 6.2
  8. 18 T. Hara 7.3
  9. 19 M. Kaars 6.6
  10. 20 M. Rasmussen 6.1
  11. 23 L. Oppie 6.2
Substitutes (9)
  1. 7 Y. Niang 6.5
  2. 9 Abdoulie Ceesay 7.9
  3. 14 E. Ahlstrand
  4. 16 J. Fujita
  5. 21 L. Ritzka
  6. 22 Samuel Klein 6.0
  7. 24 C. Metcalfe 6.3
  8. 25 A. Dźwigała
  9. 33 D. Mitov

Form and head-to-head: Arminia Bielefeld v St. Pauli

Arminia Bielefeld

LLDWL

St. Pauli

WLLDD

2. Bundesliga standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Hertha BSC 5 5 0 0 +9 15 WWWWW
2 1. FC Nürnberg 5 4 1 0 +9 13 WDWWW
3 1. FC Heidenheim 5 4 0 1 +2 12 WWWLW
4 1. FC Magdeburg 5 3 0 2 +2 9 WLWWL
5 VfL Wolfsburg 5 2 2 1 +3 8 LDWWD
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 5 2 2 1 +1 8 LWWDD
7 Energie Cottbus 5 2 1 2 +1 7 WDLLW
8 VfL Bochum 5 2 1 2 0 7 DWLWL
9 St. Pauli 5 1 3 1 0 6 WDLDD
10 VfL Osnabrück 5 2 0 3 -3 6 LWWLL
11 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 1 2 2 -2 5 DLWLD
12 Karlsruher SC 5 1 2 2 -5 5 LDLDW
13 Eintracht Braunschweig 5 1 1 3 0 4 DLLLW
14 Arminia Bielefeld 5 1 1 3 -2 4 LDLWL
15 Hannover 96 5 1 1 3 -3 4 LDWLL
16 SV Darmstadt 98 5 1 1 3 -4 4 WLLLD
17 Dynamo Dresden 5 1 1 3 -5 4 DLLWL
18 Holstein Kiel 5 0 3 2 -3 3 LDLDD

Managers: Arminia Bielefeld v St. Pauli

M. Kniat
Arminia BielefeldManagerM. KniatGermany
M. Rapp
St. PauliManagerM. RappGermany

Match information: Arminia Bielefeld v St. Pauli

Kick-off
·
Competition
2. Bundesliga
Round
Regular Season – 4
Venue
SchücoArena
City
Bielefeld
Surface
grass
Capacity
27,300