Aruba v Antigua and Barbuda

1:0

Full time

Aruba v Antigua and Barbuda in CONCACAF Nations League ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Aruba v Antigua and Barbuda

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Aruba at 56.1% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was correct.

Model	1 · Aruba	X	2 · Antigua and Barbuda	Prediction	Result
ELO + Poisson	42.7%	28.7%	28.5%	Home win · Aruba	✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)	56.1%	17.0%	26.9%	Home win · Aruba	✔ Correct
Data Providers	0.0%	50.0%	50.0%	Away win · Antigua and Barbuda	✘ Missed
Final score	1:0			Home win · Aruba

Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.59 on a Aruba win, 3.49 on the draw and 2.35 on a Antigua and Barbuda win (closing odds).

Market	Avg odds	Best	Market %	Model %
Aruba win	2.59	2.67 Betano	38.6%	56.1%
Draw	3.49	3.60 Pinnacle	28.7%	17%
Antigua and Barbuda win	2.35	2.40 William Hill	42.6%	26.9%
Over 2.5 goals	1.65	1.70 Bet365	60.6%	53.5%
Under 2.5 goals	2.10	2.16 Pinnacle	47.6%	46.5%
Both teams to score - Yes	1.55	1.62 Bet365	64.5%	42.3%
Both teams to score - No	2.27	2.38 Betfair	44.1%	57.8%

Updated: 23.09.2026 19:01 · Average odds across 8 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Aruba v Antigua and Barbuda

46′Leroy·Graham · Substitution (off: daryl massicot)
49′Thomas-James Bramble · Yellow card
55′Bradley Martis · Yellow card
58′ahley george nathaniel · Substitution (off: Kayonte George)
58′jahzihno garro o · Substitution (off: Vaughn Jackson)
64′Christopher Douglas · Substitution (off: andre d bishop)
68′jaybrien romano · Substitution (off: Mishawn Molina)
68′A. Mercera · Substitution (off: jayden kruydenhof)
68′tyrese gijsbertha · Substitution (off: Gladwin curiel)
71′Kylano Isaac · Yellow card
77′Dion Pereira · Substitution (off: raheem deterville)
85′G. Robertha · Substitution (off: Javier·Jimenez)

Form and head-to-head: Aruba v Antigua and Barbuda

Aruba

WWLWW

5 Oct 2026HAnguilla3–2W
30 Sep 2026AAnguilla2–0W
7 Jun 2026ACuracao0–4L
29 Mar 2026HLiechtenstein4–1W
26 Mar 2026HMacao4–1W

Antigua and Barbuda

WWD

2 Oct 2026AAnguilla3–0W
27 Sep 2026HAnguilla5–0W
12 Nov 2025HAruba0–0D

Head-to-head – last 1 meetings

Aruba wins: 0; draws: 1; Antigua and Barbuda wins: 0.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
12 Nov 2025	Antigua and Barbuda	0–0	Aruba	Friendly International

CONCACAF Nations League standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Match information: Aruba v Antigua and Barbuda

Kick-off: Wed 23 Sep · 23:00
Competition: CONCACAF Nations League
Round: League C – 2