Ascot United v Pagham

1:1

Full time

Ascot United v Pagham in English FA Cup The match ended 1–1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics including xG, and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Ascot United v Pagham

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Ascot United at 53.8% - the match finished 1:1, so the prediction was wrong.

Model	1 · Ascot United	X	2 · Pagham	Prediction	Result
ELO + Poisson	50.7%	22.0%	27.3%	Home win · Ascot United	✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)	53.8%	17.6%	28.6%	Home win · Ascot United	✘ Missed
Final score	1:1			Draw

Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Form and head-to-head: Ascot United v Pagham

Ascot United

LLWWL

12 Sep 2026HAshford United1–3L
8 Sep 2026APagham0–2L
28 Aug 2026HMargate3–0W
7 Aug 2026HClevedon Town3–2W
25 Apr 2026HMetropolitan Police FC2–3L

Pagham

WWD

8 Sep 2026HAscot United2–0W
11 August 2026AHollands & Blair2–1W
8 Aug 2026HHollands & Blair1–1D

Head-to-head – last 1 meetings

Ascot United wins: 0; draws: 0; Pagham wins: 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
8 Sep 2026	Pagham	2–0	Ascot United	English FA Cup

English FA Cup standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Match information: Ascot United v Pagham

Kick-off: Sun 6 Sep · 14:00
Competition: English FA Cup
Round: 1st Round Qualifying