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Atlético Madrid II v Real Murcia

Primera División RFEF – Group 2
Atlético Madrid II
4:0
Full time
Real Murcia

Atlético Madrid II v Real Murcia in Primera División RFEF – Group 2 ended 4:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Atlético Madrid II v Real Murcia

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Real Murcia at 39.3% - the match finished 4:0, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Atlético Madrid II X 2 · Real Murcia Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 40.9% 26.9% 32.3% Home win · Atlético Madrid II ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 30.3% 30.4% 39.3% Away win · Real Murcia ✘ Missed
Final score 4:0 Home win · Atlético Madrid II
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.39 on a Atlético Madrid II win, 3.01 on the draw and 2.78 on a Real Murcia win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Atlético Madrid II win 2.39 2.47 Pinnacle 41.8% 30.3%
Draw 3.01 3.10 Bet365 33.2% 30.4%
Real Murcia win 2.78 2.88 Bet365 36% 39.3%
Over 2.5 goals 2.07 2.10 Bet365 48.3% 45.8%
Under 2.5 goals 1.70 1.70 Pinnacle 58.8% 54.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.79 1.83 Bet365 55.9% 47.3%
Both teams to score - No 1.88 1.91 William Hill 53.2% 52.7%
Updated: 11.09.2026 05:35 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Atlético Madrid II v Real Murcia

  1. 13′A. Santos · Penalty
  2. 17′J. Mier · Yellow card
  3. 19′S. Esteban · Substitution (off: M. Cubo)
  4. 26′J. Mier · Yellow card
  5. 35′A. Yaakobishvili · Yellow card
  6. 45+10′M. Cubo · Goal (assist: A. Sola)
  7. 46′J. Mier · Substitution (off: S. Moyita)
  8. 46′A. Bustos · Substitution (off: C. Nunez)
  9. 52′M. Cubo · Goal (assist: T. Helguera)
  10. 53′S. Guillo · Yellow card
  11. 54′J. Mier · Substitution (off: V. Olmedo)
  12. 58′A. Yaakobishvili · Substitution (off: A. Puric)
  13. 58′M. Domenech · Substitution (off: I. Kamate)
  14. 59′E. Alcaniz · Goal
  15. 63′J. Moreno Sanchez · Substitution (off: U. Diao)
  16. 68′T. Helguera · Substitution (off: D. Munoz)
  17. 68′A. Santos · Substitution (off: J. Alvaro)
  18. 73′R. Hueso · Yellow card
  19. 73′J. Jorquera Romero · Yellow card
  20. 76′O. Gil · Substitution (off: A. Yoldi)

Form and head-to-head: Atlético Madrid II v Real Murcia

Atlético Madrid II

WDLDW
  • AHercules2–0W
  • HJuventud Torremolinos2–2D
  • HPonferradina0–1L
  • APonferradina0–0D
  • HVillarrobledo2–1W

Real Murcia

WWWLW

Primera División RFEF – Group 2 standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Real Murcia 2 2 0 0 +5 6 WW
2 Villarreal II 2 2 0 0 +2 6 WW
3 Real Jaén 2 1 1 0 +3 4 DW
4 Atlético Madrid II 2 1 1 0 +2 4 WD
5 FC Cartagena 2 1 1 0 +2 4 DW
6 Gimnastic 2 1 1 0 +2 4 DW
7 Real Madrid II 2 1 1 0 +2 4 WD
8 Huesca 2 1 1 0 +1 4 DW
9 Sant Andreu 2 1 0 1 +1 3 WL
10 Ibiza 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
11 Antequera 2 1 0 1 0 3 LW
12 Zaragoza 2 1 0 1 -1 3 WL
13 Alcorcon 2 0 2 0 0 2 DD
14 Juventud Torremolinos 2 0 1 1 -2 1 LD
15 Águilas 2 0 1 1 -2 1 LD
16 Europa FC 2 0 1 1 -3 1 DL
17 Teruel 2 0 1 1 -4 1 LD
18 Rayo Majadahonda 2 0 0 2 -2 0 LL
19 Algeciras 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
20 Hercules 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL

Match information: Atlético Madrid II v Real Murcia

Kick-off
·
Competition
Primera División RFEF – Group 2
Round
Group 2 – 3