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Aubagne v Concarneau

Ligue 3
Aubagne
1:2
Full time
Concarneau

Aubagne v Concarneau in Ligue 3 ended 1:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Aubagne v Concarneau

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Concarneau at 38.1% - the match finished 1:2, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Aubagne X 2 · Concarneau Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 40.6% 30.8% 28.7% Home win · Aubagne ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 35.5% 26.4% 38.1% Away win · Concarneau ✔ Correct
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Concarneau ✔ Correct
Final score 1:2 Away win · Concarneau
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.54 on a Aubagne win, 3.21 on the draw and 2.01 on a Concarneau win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Aubagne win 3.54 3.64 Pinnacle 28.2% 35.5%
Draw 3.21 3.26 Pinnacle 31.2% 26.4%
Concarneau win 2.01 2.06 Pinnacle 49.8% 38.1%
Over 2.5 goals 2.01 2.04 Pinnacle 49.8% 51.8%
Under 2.5 goals 1.74 1.75 Pinnacle 57.5% 48.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.80 1.80 Marathonbet 55.6% 51.5%
Both teams to score - No 1.88 1.89 1xBet 53.2% 48.5%
Updated: 08.09.2026 05:14 · Average odds across 3 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Aubagne v Concarneau

  1. 29′M. Picouleau · Yellow card
  2. 58′Y. Zemoura · Goal (assist: K. Cisse)
  3. 63′G. Gbelle · Substitution (off: F. Da Silva)
  4. 63′B. Macon · Substitution (off: L. Rosier)
  5. 63′J. Varvat · Substitution (off: A. Sidibe)
  6. 66′A. Tafni · Yellow card
  7. 66′M. Picouleau · Substitution (off: T. Sinquin)
  8. 71′Y. Zemoura · Substitution (off: S. Hattab)
  9. 71′A. Tafni · Substitution (off: B. Doukansy)
  10. 79′R. Doucoure · Substitution (off: R. Valme)
  11. 79′W. Bouaziz · Substitution (off: M. Ahamadi)
  12. 81′L. Goujon · Substitution (off: K. Benabdelouahed)
  13. 83′K. Cisse · Substitution (off: A. Bellebrahim)
  14. 87′L. Rosier · Goal (assist: S. Janno)
  15. 90+3′C. Divialle · Goal (assist: D. Seba)

Form and head-to-head: Aubagne v Concarneau

Aubagne

DWLLL
  • AGobelins0–0D
  • HBourg-en-bresse 012–0W
  • ACaen0–1L
  • HBastia0–1L
  • HThionville Lusitanos0–3L

Concarneau

DDWDL
  • HThionville Lusitanos2–2D
  • AValenciennes0–0D
  • HVillefranche2–0W
  • AQuevilly1–1D
  • HOrleans0–2L

Ligue 3 standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Rouen 6 4 2 0 +10 14 WDWWW
2 Caen 6 4 0 2 +7 12 WWLWL
3 La Roche VF 6 3 3 0 +3 12 DDWDW
4 Thionville Lusitanos 6 3 2 1 +2 11 LDDWW
5 Cannes 6 2 4 0 +5 10 DWWDD
6 Concarneau 6 2 3 1 +1 9 WDDWD
7 Versailles 6 3 0 3 -1 9 WLLWW
8 Bastia 6 3 0 3 -3 9 WLWLW
9 Gobelins 6 2 2 2 -2 8 LDDWL
10 Quevilly 6 2 2 2 -2 8 WDWLD
11 Amiens 6 2 2 2 +4 8 DWWLL
12 Fleury 91 6 2 2 2 +3 8 WWLLD
13 Le Puy Foot 6 2 1 3 -1 7 LDLWL
14 Orleans 6 2 1 3 -2 7 LDLWL
15 Valenciennes 6 1 2 3 -4 5 LDDLW
16 Aubagne 6 1 1 4 -4 4 LDWLL
17 Villefranche 6 1 1 4 -8 4 DLLLW
18 Bourg-en-bresse 01 6 1 0 5 -8 3 LLLLL

Match information: Aubagne v Concarneau

Kick-off
·
Competition
Ligue 3
Round
Regular Season – 6
Venue
Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny
City
Aubagne