Austin v SJ Earthquakes in Major League Soccer The match ended 1–1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics including xG, and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Austin v SJ Earthquakes
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Austin at 49.0% - the match finished 1:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Austin
X
2 · SJ Earthquakes
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
51.0%
24.8%
24.3%
Home win · Austin
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
49.0%
20.7%
30.2%
Home win · Austin
✘ Missed
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · Austin
✘ Missed
Final score
1:1
Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.27 on a Austin win, 3.58 on the draw and 2.91 on a SJ Earthquakes win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Austin win
2.27
2.34Pinnacle
44.1%
49%
Draw
3.58
3.70Bet365
27.9%
20.7%
SJ Earthquakes win
2.91
3.05Pinnacle
34.4%
30.2%
Over 2.5 goals
1.55
1.61Pinnacle
64.5%
63.7%
Under 2.5 goals
2.33
2.40Pinnacle
42.9%
36.3%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.45
1.45Marathonbet
69%
62.8%
Both teams to score - No
2.55
2.62Bet365
39.2%
37.2%
Updated: 06.09.2026 04:50 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.