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Baglan Dragons v Afan Lido

FAW Championship
Baglan Dragons
2:1
Full time
Afan Lido

Baglan Dragons v Afan Lido in FAW Championship ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Baglan Dragons v Afan Lido

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Baglan Dragons at 41.5% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Baglan Dragons X 2 · Afan Lido Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 49.9% 22.7% 27.4% Home win · Baglan Dragons ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 41.5% 21.4% 37.1% Home win · Baglan Dragons ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Baglan Dragons ✔ Correct
Final score 2:1 Home win · Baglan Dragons
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.29 on a Baglan Dragons win, 3.42 on the draw and 2.62 on a Afan Lido win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Baglan Dragons win 2.29 2.31 Pinnacle 43.7% 41.5%
Draw 3.42 3.60 Bet365 29.2% 21.4%
Afan Lido win 2.62 2.72 Pinnacle 38.2% 37.1%
Over 2.5 goals 1.68 1.70 Bet365 59.5% 56.6%
Under 2.5 goals 2.08 2.11 Pinnacle 48.1% 43.4%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.54 1.55 William Hill 64.9% 54.1%
Both teams to score - No 2.24 2.26 1xBet 44.6% 45.9%
Updated: 04.09.2026 22:41 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Form and head-to-head: Baglan Dragons v Afan Lido

Baglan Dragons

LLWWW
  • ACardiff Draconians1–2L
  • HCaerphilly Athletic0–1L
  • HCaerau (Ely)3–1W
  • ANewport City1–0W
  • ALlantwit Major1–0W

Afan Lido

WDLWL
  • APontypridd Town1–0W
  • HYnyshir Albions0–0D
  • ATrethomas Bluebirds2–5L
  • HPontardawe Town1–0W
  • ACarmarthen Town1–3L

FAW Championship standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Swansea University 6 5 1 0 +17 16 WDWWW
1 Brickfield Rangers 8 7 0 1 +17 21 WWWLW
2 Aberystwyth Town 6 5 0 1 +12 15 WWWWL
2 Newtown AFC 7 6 1 0 +15 19 WWWWD
3 Treowen Stars 7 4 1 2 +6 13 DWLWW
3 Bangor City 1876 FC 8 5 2 1 +11 17 WDLWW
4 Pontypridd Town 6 4 1 1 +5 13 LDWWW
4 Mold Alexandra 8 4 3 1 +9 15 DWWWW
5 Baglan Dragons 8 4 1 3 0 13 LWLWW
5 Bala Town 7 5 0 2 +4 15 LWLWW
6 Carmarthen Town 7 3 2 2 +1 11 DLDLW
6 Porthmadog 8 4 2 2 +4 14 WLDLW
7 Caerau (Ely) 7 3 1 3 -1 10 WWLLW
7 Caersws 7 4 1 2 +4 13 LWWWL
8 Afan Lido 8 3 1 4 -2 10 WLDLW
8 Llanuwchllyn 8 3 2 3 -6 11 DWWLL
9 Trethomas Bluebirds 7 2 3 2 +1 9 DWWLL
9 Rhyl 8 2 4 2 +1 10 DDWLW
10 Ynyshir Albions 6 2 3 1 +1 9 DDWLD
10 Guilsfield 8 2 4 2 +1 10 DLWLD
11 Caerphilly Athletic 7 2 2 3 -5 8 LDWWL
11 Buckley Town 8 2 2 4 +1 8 DWLWL
12 Cardiff Draconians 5 2 1 2 -1 7 WWLDL
12 Denbigh Town 8 2 1 5 -1 7 WLLDL
13 Newport City 5 2 0 3 +4 6 LLWLW
13 Holyhead Hotspur 7 1 1 5 -7 4 LLDLL
14 Pontardawe Town 6 1 0 5 -8 3 LLLLL
14 Ruthin Town 8 1 1 6 -13 4 LLLLD
15 llanelli AFC 8 0 2 6 -17 2 LLLDL
15 Gresford Athletic 7 0 1 6 -18 1 DLLLL
16 Llantwit Major 5 0 1 4 -13 1 DLLLL
16 Penrhyncoch 7 0 1 6 -22 1 LLLDL

Match information: Baglan Dragons v Afan Lido

Kick-off
·
Competition
FAW Championship
Round
South – 7