Bate Borisov v Naftan in Belarusian Premier League ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Bate Borisov v Naftan
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Bate Borisov at 68.2% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Bate Borisov
X
2 · Naftan
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
50.0%
28.6%
21.4%
Home win · Bate Borisov
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
68.2%
12.8%
19.0%
Home win · Bate Borisov
✘ Missed
Final score
2:2
Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.41 on a Bate Borisov win, 4.50 on the draw and 7.39 on a Naftan win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Bate Borisov win
1.41
1.411xBet
70.9%
68.2%
Draw
4.50
4.50Marathonbet
22.2%
12.8%
Naftan win
7.39
7.40Marathonbet
13.5%
19%
Over 2.5 goals
1.90
1.90Marathonbet
52.6%
64.4%
Under 2.5 goals
1.87
1.87Marathonbet
53.5%
35.6%
Both teams to score - Yes
2.10
2.10Marathonbet
47.6%
49%
Both teams to score - No
1.65
1.661xBet
60.6%
51.1%
Updated: 10.09.2026 23:32 · Average odds across 2 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Bate Borisov v Naftan
13′⚽Nikita Neskoromny · Goal
38′⚽erick puerto · Goal (assist: Yuriy Kovalev)
42′🟨K. Adamovich · Yellow card
42′✖Vladislav Varaksa · Penalty missed
45′🔄pavel dubovskiy · Substitution (off: Maksim Sakuta)
45′🔄erick puerto · Substitution (off: vladislav yatskevich)