Bayer 04 Leverkusen v FC Union Berlin in Bundesliga ended 4:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Bayer 04 Leverkusen v FC Union Berlin
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 55.5% - the match finished 4:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen
X
2 · FC Union Berlin
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
56.7%
22.1%
21.2%
Home win · Bayer 04 Leverkusen
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
55.5%
18.7%
25.7%
Home win · Bayer 04 Leverkusen
✔ Correct
Data Providers
35.0%
35.0%
30.0%
Home win · Bayer 04 Leverkusen
✔ Correct
Final score
4:0
Home win · Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.44 on a Bayer 04 Leverkusen win, 4.85 on the draw and 6.24 on a FC Union Berlin win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
1.44
1.491xBet
69.4%
55.5%
Draw
4.85
5.20Dafabet
20.6%
18.7%
FC Union Berlin win
6.24
6.701xBet
16%
25.7%
Over 2.5 goals
1.42
1.45Pinnacle
70.4%
70.1%
Under 2.5 goals
2.76
2.88Betfair
36.2%
29.9%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.56
1.60Betano
64.1%
65.8%
Both teams to score - No
2.30
2.38Betfair
43.5%
34.2%
Updated: 04.09.2026 10:39 · Average odds across 12 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Bayer 04 Leverkusen v FC Union Berlin
1′⚽Ignacio Ezequiel Agustín Fernández Carballo · Goal (assist: Miguel Gutiérrez)
4′🟨Felix Uduokhai · Yellow card
28′⚽Facundo Medina · Goal (assist: Miguel Gutiérrez)
47′🟨Zeno Van Den Bosch · Yellow card
48′⚽Patrik Schick · Goal (assist: Jarell Quansah)
61′🟨Miguel Gutiérrez · Yellow card
63′🔄Emmanuel Latte Lath · Substitution (off: Tim Skarke)