Belgium v Senegal in World Cup ended 3:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Belgium v Senegal
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Belgium at 47.4% - the match finished 3:2 (after extra time), so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Belgium
X
2 · Senegal
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
65.3%
20.6%
14.2%
Home win · Belgium
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
47.4%
23.2%
29.5%
Home win · Belgium
✔ Correct
Final score
3:2 (after extra time)
Home win · Belgium
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Market probabilities
Statistical probabilities for the main markets in this match - final result, double chance, both teams to score, total goals and correct score. These are informational estimates, not betting advice (18+).
Main markets
Final result (1X2)
1 - home44.8%
X - draw23.8%
2 - away31.4%
Double chance
1X - home/draw68.6%
12 - no draw76.2%
X2 - away/draw55.2%
Both teams to score
Yes60.7%
No39.4%
Total goals in the match
Total goals 1.5
Over 1.580.7%
Under 1.519.3%
Total goals 2.5
Over 2.558.8%
Under 2.541.2%
Total goals 3.5
Over 3.536.5%
Under 3.563.5%
Total goals 4.5
Over 4.521.8%
Under 4.578.3%
Home goals
Home goals 0.5
Over 0.577.5%
Under 0.522.5%
Home goals 1.5
Over 1.547.8%
Under 1.552.2%
Home goals 2.5
Over 2.522.9%
Under 2.577.1%
Home goals 3.5
Over 3.59.0%
Under 3.591.1%
Away goals
Away goals 0.5
Over 0.568.1%
Under 0.531.9%
Away goals 1.5
Over 1.536.6%
Under 1.563.4%
Away goals 2.5
Over 2.515.0%
Under 2.585.0%
Away goals 3.5
Over 3.55.1%
Under 3.594.9%
Correct score
Most likely correct score
1:110.8%
2:19.1%
1:08.0%
1:27.4%
Match events: Belgium v Senegal
24′⚽Habib Diarra · Goal
46′🔄Romelu Lukaku · Substitution (off: Charles De Ketelaere)