Benfica v Gil Vicente in Liga Portugal ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Benfica v Gil Vicente
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Benfica at 72.6% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Benfica
X
2 · Gil Vicente
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
59.2%
22.3%
18.5%
Home win · Benfica
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
72.6%
16.6%
10.8%
Home win · Benfica
✔ Correct
Final score
3:1
Home win · Benfica
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.14 on a Benfica win, 7.80 on the draw and 18.26 on a Gil Vicente win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Benfica win
1.14
1.17Bet365
87.7%
72.6%
Draw
7.80
9.051xBet
12.8%
16.6%
Gil Vicente win
18.26
22.001xBet
5.5%
10.8%
Over 2.5 goals
1.47
1.50Bet365
68%
71.3%
Under 2.5 goals
2.48
2.64Pinnacle
40.3%
28.8%
Both teams to score - Yes
2.37
2.46Marathonbet
42.2%
55%
Both teams to score - No
1.51
1.57Bet365
66.2%
45%
Updated: 11.09.2026 05:34 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Benfica v Gil Vicente
7′⚽Hector Hernandez · Goal (assist: Gil Pinto Martins)
12′🟨Enzo Barrenechea · Yellow card
26′🟨Hector Hernandez · Yellow card
29′⚽Vangelis Pavlidis · Goal
56′🔄Agustín Moreira · Substitution (off: Santiago García González)