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Birmingham City v Brentford

Carabao Cup
Birmingham City
1:6
Full time
Brentford

Birmingham City v Brentford in Carabao Cup ended 1:6. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Birmingham City v Brentford

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Birmingham City at 41.4% - the match finished 1:6, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Birmingham City X 2 · Brentford Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 40.3% 28.1% 31.6% Home win · Birmingham City ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 41.4% 26.3% 32.3% Home win · Birmingham City ✘ Missed
Data Providers 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% Home win · Birmingham City ✘ Missed
Final score 1:6 Away win · Brentford
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 4.28 on a Birmingham City win, 3.75 on the draw and 1.78 on a Brentford win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Birmingham City win 4.28 4.50 Bet365 23.4% 41.4%
Draw 3.75 3.95 Pinnacle 26.7% 26.3%
Brentford win 1.78 1.83 Betano 56.2% 32.3%
Over 2.5 goals 1.69 1.74 Marathonbet 59.2% 50.6%
Under 2.5 goals 2.12 2.19 Pinnacle 47.2% 49.4%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.63 1.67 William Hill 61.3% 49.5%
Both teams to score - No 2.17 2.38 Betfair 46.1% 50.5%
Updated: 25.08.2026 14:53 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Birmingham City v Brentford

  1. 6′C. Wilson · Goal (assist: Y. Yarmolyuk)
  2. 26′J. Schuster · Yellow card
  3. 28′D. Gray · Goal (assist: Paik Seung-Ho)
  4. 35′A. Hickey · Goal
  5. 37′J. E. Solis Romero · Yellow card
  6. 40′N. Collins · Goal (assist: J. Anthony)
  7. 46′D. Ouattara · Substitution (off: K. Schade)
  8. 46′Y. Yarmolyuk · Substitution (off: M. Sangare)
  9. 55′B. Osayi-Samuel · Yellow card
  10. 61′K. Fujimoto · Substitution (off: J. Stansfield)
  11. 61′L. Vazquez · Substitution (off: A. Priske)
  12. 61′K. Lund · Substitution (off: A. Cochrane)
  13. 62′C. Wilson · Substitution (off: I. Thiago)
  14. 70′M. Damsgaard · Goal (assist: J. Anthony)
  15. 71′R. Henry · Substitution (off: K. Lewis-Potter)
  16. 71′V. Janelt · Substitution (off: M. Kayode)
  17. 73′I. Thiago · Goal (assist: J. Anthony)
  18. 75′D. Gray · Substitution (off: P. Neumann)
  19. 77′N. Collins · Goal (assist: M. Sangare)
  20. 83′Paik Seung-Ho · Substitution (off: T. Iwata)

Match statistics: Birmingham City v Brentford

Statistic Birmingham City Brentford
Possession 31% 69%
Shots on target 2 8
Total shots 8 16
Shots off target 4 6
Blocked shots 2 2
Corners 4 6
Fouls 9 12
Offsides 0 1
Yellow cards 2 1
Saves 2 1
Passes 226 499
Pass accuracy 65% 83%

Line-ups: Birmingham City v Brentford

Birmingham City 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 4 Christoph Klarer 5.9
  2. 7 Carlos Vicente 5.6
  3. 8 Seung Ho Paik 6.9
  4. 10 Demarai Gray 7.2
  5. 14 Jhon Solís 5.6
  6. 21 Ryan Allsop 5.9
  7. 23 Dael Fry 5.9
  8. 25 Kristoffer Lund 5.9
  9. 26 Bright Osayi-Samuel 5.5
  10. 27 Kanya Fujimoto 6.3
  11. 32 Luis Vázquez 6.3
Substitutes (9)
  1. 1 James Beadle
  2. 2 Ethan Laird
  3. 5 Phil Neumann 6.2
  4. 9 August Priske 6.2
  5. 16 Patrick Roberts
  6. 20 Alex Cochrane 6.2
  7. 24 Tomoki Iwata
  8. 28 Jay Stansfield 6.2
  9. 33 Marvin Ducksch

Brentford 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 2 Aaron Hickey 7.5
  2. 3 Rico Henry 6.3
  3. 6 Yehor Yarmoliuk 6.9
  4. 11 Dango Ouattara 6.3
  5. 12 Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson 6.5
  6. 13 Callum Wilson 7.2
  7. 19 Jaidon Anthony 7.9
  8. 22 Nathan Collins 9.9
  9. 24 Mikkel Damsgaard 8.2
  10. 27 Vitaly Janelt 7.2
  11. 44 Jannik Schuster 6.6
Substitutes (9)
  1. 1 Caoimhin Kelleher
  2. 7 Kevin Schade 6.2
  3. 8 Mathias Jensen
  4. 9 Igor Thiago 7.3
  5. 14 Fabio Carvalho
  6. 18 Mamadou Sangare 7.2
  7. 20 Kristoffer Ajer
  8. 23 Keane Lewis-Potter 6.3
  9. 33 Michael Kayode 6.6

Form and head-to-head: Birmingham City v Brentford

Birmingham City

WLDDW

Brentford

DDDWD

Carabao Cup standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Managers: Birmingham City v Brentford

C. Davies
Birmingham CityManagerC. Davies
K. Andrews
BrentfordManagerK. Andrews

Match information: Birmingham City v Brentford

Kick-off
·
Competition
Carabao Cup
City
Birmingham
Surface
grass
Capacity
29,409