Birmingham City v Bristol City in English Championship ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Birmingham City v Bristol City
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Birmingham City at 54.0% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Birmingham City
X
2 · Bristol City
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
56.0%
25.0%
19.0%
Home win · Birmingham City
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
54.0%
24.9%
21.1%
Home win · Birmingham City
✘ Missed
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · Birmingham City
✘ Missed
Final score
2:2
Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.78 on a Birmingham City win, 3.63 on the draw and 4.36 on a Bristol City win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Birmingham City win
1.78
1.8410Bet
56.2%
54%
Draw
3.63
3.85Pinnacle
27.5%
24.9%
Bristol City win
4.36
4.60Betfair
22.9%
21.1%
Over 2.5 goals
1.86
1.91Bet365
53.8%
43.9%
Under 2.5 goals
1.93
2.0010Bet
51.8%
56.1%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.75
1.80Bet365
57.1%
44.9%
Both teams to score - No
1.99
2.1010Bet
50.3%
55.1%
Updated: 22.08.2026 08:40 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Birmingham City v Bristol City
32′🟨B. Osayi-Samuel · Yellow card
33′⚽S. Twine · Goal
42′⚽S. Tickle · Own goal
46′🔄B. Osayi-Samuel · Substitution (off: E. Laird)
62′🔄Paik Seung-Ho · Substitution (off: P. Roberts)
63′🔄C. Vicente · Substitution (off: D. Gray)
65′🔄L. Tolaj · Substitution (off: D. Ballard)
65′🔄J. Wallace · Substitution (off: T. Horvat)
71′🔄J. Williams · Substitution (off: G. Yah)
71′🔄S. Twine · Substitution (off: S. Greenwood)
Match statistics: Birmingham City v Bristol City
Statistic
Birmingham City
Bristol City
Possession
58%
42%
Shots on target
0
0
Total shots
2
2
Shots off target
2
1
Blocked shots
0
1
Corners
1
0
Fouls
2
2
Passes
86
60
Pass accuracy
67%
53%
Line-ups: Birmingham City v Bristol City
Birmingham City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1 James Beadle 6.6
4 Christoph Klarer 6.7
5 Phil Neumann 6.3
7 Carlos Vicente 6.7
8 Seung Ho Paik 6.5
9 August Priske 6.5
14 Jhon Solís 6.3
20 Alex Cochrane 6.5
24 Tomoki Iwata 6.3
26 Bright Osayi-Samuel 6.7
28 Jay Stansfield 6.9
Substitutes (9)
2 Ethan Laird
10 Demarai Gray
16 Patrick Roberts
21 Ryan Allsop
23 Dael Fry
25 Kristoffer Lund
27 Kanya Fujimoto
32 Luis Vázquez
33 Marvin Ducksch
Bristol City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1 Sam Tickle 6.3
2 Lisav Naif Eissat 6.3
7 Yu Hirakawa 6.5
8 Joe Williams 6.3
9 Lorent Tolaj 6.3
10 Scott Twine 6.3
12 Jason Knight 6.7
16 Rob Dickie 6.7
17 Jed Wallace 6.3
19 George Tanner 6.3
21 Rio Cardines 6.3
Substitutes (9)
5 Robert Atkinson
11 Sam Bell
14 Tomi Horvat
18 Emil Riis Jacobsen
20 Sam Greenwood
23 Dominic Ballard
27 Gibson Yah
38 Noah Eile
40 Brad Collins
Form and head-to-head: Birmingham City v Bristol City
