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Burgos v Ceuta

La Liga 2
Burgos
3:1
Full time
Ceuta

Burgos v Ceuta in La Liga 2 ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Burgos v Ceuta

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Burgos at 62.2% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Burgos X 2 · Ceuta Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 53.7% 25.9% 20.4% Home win · Burgos ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 62.2% 24.2% 13.6% Home win · Burgos ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Burgos ✔ Correct
Final score 3:1 Home win · Burgos
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.66 on a Burgos win, 3.75 on the draw and 4.85 on a Ceuta win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Burgos win 1.66 1.70 1xBet 60.2% 62.2%
Draw 3.75 4.00 1xBet 26.7% 24.2%
Ceuta win 4.85 5.21 Pinnacle 20.6% 13.6%
Over 2.5 goals 1.85 1.97 Unibet 54.1% 50.8%
Under 2.5 goals 1.93 2.03 1xBet 51.8% 49.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.79 1.86 Unibet 55.9% 46.5%
Both teams to score - No 1.91 2.00 Betano 52.4% 53.5%
Updated: 07.09.2026 11:10 · Average odds across 9 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Burgos v Ceuta

  1. 14′Carlos Hernández · Goal (assist: Kuki Zalazar)
  2. 20′Alberto Dadie · Goal (assist: Jon Karrikaburu)
  3. 27′Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro · Yellow card
  4. 48′Jon Karrikaburu · Goal (assist: David Gonzalez)
  5. 62′José Gragera · Yellow card
  6. 66′Kuki Zalazar · Yellow card
  7. 66′Jon Karrikaburu · Substitution (off: Álex Forés)
  8. 66′Unai Vencedor · Substitution (off: Pablo Galdames)
  9. 66′Javier Llabrés Exposito · Substitution (off: Kevin Appin)
  10. 71′Edgar Sevikyan · Substitution (off: Umaru Konare)
  11. 75′José Gragera · Substitution (off: Oier Luengo Redondo)
  12. 81′Mawuli Kwame Mensah Vadze · Substitution (off: José Antonio Abad Martínez)
  13. 81′José Matos · Substitution (off: Joaquín Felipe González Rodríguez)
  14. 81′Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro · Substitution (off: Alejandro Meléndez)
  15. 81′Curro · Substitution (off: Santiago Lencina)
  16. 81′Carlos Redruello Nimo · Own goal
  17. 84′Alejandro Camacho Ramírez · Substitution (off: Jordi Escobar)
  18. 86′David Gonzalez · Yellow card
  19. 90′Alberto Dadie · Yellow card

Match statistics: Burgos v Ceuta

Statistic Burgos Ceuta
Possession 47% 53%
Shots on target 2 3
Total shots 7 11
Shots off target 2 5
Blocked shots 3 3
Corners 1 7
Fouls 21 13
Offsides 1 4
Yellow cards 3 2
Red cards 0 0
Saves 2 0
Passes 422 459

Line-ups: Burgos v Ceuta

Burgos 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 3 Ignasi Vilarrasa 6.4
  2. 5 Marcelo Expósito 7.0
  3. 7 Jon Karrikaburu 8.1
  4. 8 Grego 6.9
  5. 12 Unai Vencedor 6.0
  6. 13 Ander Cantero 6.4
  7. 14 David González 6.9
  8. 16 Curro Sánchez 6.7
  9. 19 Javi Llabrés 6.1
  10. 20 José Gragera 6.2
  11. 23 Alberto Dadie 6.8
Substitutes (11)
  1. 1 Bruno Iribarne
  2. 4 P. Galdames 6.5
  3. 9 Álex Forés 6.5
  4. 10 K. Appin 6.2
  5. 11 Víctor Mollejo
  6. 15 Oier Luengo 6.6
  7. 17 Mario Cantero
  8. 18 Saúl del Cerro
  9. 22 Brais Martínez
  10. 24 S. Lencinas 6.3
  11. 36 I. Martinez

Ceuta 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1 Pedro López 5.6
  2. 3 José Matos 5.4
  3. 6 Carlos Hernández 7.3
  4. 7 Alejandro Camacho Ramírez 6.6
  5. 8 Kuki 7.7
  6. 14 Y. Bodiger 6.0
  7. 16 Redru 5.6
  8. 17 Mawuli Mensah 6.2
  9. 19 E. Sevikyan 6.5
  10. 29 O. Sadik 6.1
Substitutes (8)
  1. 2 Toni Abad 5.9
  2. 9 Jordi Escobar 6.3
  3. 13 Guille Vallejo
  4. 15 Joaquín 5.9
  5. 20 Álex Meléndez 5.8
  6. 26 Arick Betancourt
  7. 27 U. Konare 6.3
  8. 34 D. Mas

Form and head-to-head: Burgos v Ceuta

Burgos

DDLWW

Ceuta

LLLLW

Head-to-head – last 2 meetings

Burgos wins: 0; draws: 1; Ceuta wins: 1.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Burgos 1–1 Ceuta La Liga 2
Ceuta 1–0 Burgos La Liga 2

La Liga 2 standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Castellón 5 4 1 0 +5 13 WWWDW
2 SD Eibar 5 4 0 1 +7 12 WWWWL
3 Mallorca 5 3 1 1 +5 10 WDWLW
4 Tenerife 5 3 1 1 +4 10 WDLWW
5 Las Palmas 5 3 1 1 +1 10 WDLWW
6 Almería 5 3 0 2 +4 9 WWLLW
7 Real Oviedo 5 2 2 1 +3 8 WDWLD
8 Burgos 5 2 2 1 +2 8 WDDLW
9 Real Sociedad II 5 2 2 1 +2 8 WDDWL
10 Granada 5 2 2 1 +1 8 DLWWD
11 Sabadell 5 2 2 1 0 8 LWWDD
12 Leganés 5 2 2 1 0 8 LDWWD
13 Girona 5 2 1 2 +3 7 LWWLD
14 Celta Fortuna 5 2 1 2 -1 7 LWLWD
15 Sporting Gijón 5 2 1 2 -1 7 LLWWD
16 Eldense 5 1 2 2 -3 5 WDLDL
17 Real Valladolid 5 1 1 3 -5 4 LWDLL
18 FC Andorra 5 1 0 4 -2 3 LLLLW
19 Cádiz 5 0 3 2 -2 3 LLDDD
20 Córdoba 5 1 0 4 -5 3 LLLWL
21 Albacete 5 0 1 4 -5 1 DLLLL
22 Ceuta 5 0 0 5 -13 0 LLLLL

Managers: Burgos v Ceuta

Sergio Francisco
BurgosManagerSergio Francisco
José Juan Romero
CeutaManagerJosé Juan Romero

Match information: Burgos v Ceuta

Kick-off
·
Competition
La Liga 2
Round
Regular Season – 5
City
Burgos
Surface
grass
Capacity
12,194