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Carlisle v Southend

National League
Carlisle
2:2
Full time
Southend

Carlisle v Southend in National League ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Carlisle v Southend

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Carlisle at 40.2% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Carlisle X 2 · Southend Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 46.6% 24.3% 29.1% Home win · Carlisle ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 40.2% 21.5% 38.4% Home win · Carlisle ✘ Missed
Final score 2:2 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.22 on a Carlisle win, 3.44 on the draw and 2.83 on a Southend win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Carlisle win 2.22 2.30 Pinnacle 45% 40.2%
Draw 3.44 3.60 Bet365 29.1% 21.5%
Southend win 2.83 2.90 Bet365 35.3% 38.4%
Over 2.5 goals 1.63 1.65 Pinnacle 61.3% 65.1%
Under 2.5 goals 2.18 2.25 Bet365 45.9% 34.9%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.52 1.57 Bet365 65.8% 62%
Both teams to score - No 2.35 2.40 William Hill 42.6% 38%
Updated: 09.09.2026 17:24 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Carlisle v Southend

  1. 4′G. Kelly · Goal (assist: D. Ajiboye)
  2. 7′K. McAdam · Yellow card
  3. 43′V. Daley-Campbell · Yellow card
  4. 46′O. Coker · Substitution (off: Z. Massiah-Edwards)
  5. 53′H. Cardwell · Yellow card
  6. 58′H. Cardwell · Substitution (off: P. Omochere)
  7. 58′R. Colclough · Substitution (off: J. Popoola)
  8. 61′J. Williams · Substitution (off: J. Luamba)
  9. 62′L. Duru · Yellow card
  10. 65′D. Ajiboye · Substitution (off: M. Obiero)
  11. 65′T. Jenks · Substitution (off: S. Wearne)
  12. 70′D. Oldaker · Substitution (off: S. Austin)
  13. 83′L. Chambers-Parillon · Goal (assist: P. Omochere)
  14. 87′L. Duru · Substitution (off: R. Linney)
  15. 87′H. Bunker · Substitution (off: R. Galvin)
  16. 90+4′P. Omochere · Yellow card
  17. 90+3′L. Chambers-Parillon · Substitution (off: H. Taylor)
  18. 90′K. McAdam · Goal
  19. 90′G. Kelly · Goal (assist: M. Feeney)

Line-ups: Carlisle v Southend

Carlisle

Starting XI

  1. 1 A. Desbois
  2. 4 H. Bunker
  3. 5 M. Feeney
  4. 6 M. Azeez
  5. 7 D. Ajiboye
  6. 9 G. Kelly
  7. 15 B. Nicholson
  8. 17 L. Duru
  9. 18 J. Ellis
  10. 22 J. Williams
  11. 30 T. Jenks
Substitutes (7)
  1. 3 C. Harper
  2. 10 R. Linney
  3. 11 J. Luamba
  4. 12 R. Galvin
  5. 16 A. Mair
  6. 19 M. Obiero
  7. 20 S. Wearne

Southend

Starting XI

  1. 1 J. Duncan
  2. 2 V. Daley-Campbell
  3. 3 K. McAdam
  4. 4 A. Hartigan
  5. 5 R. Oyebade
  6. 6 B. Goodliffe
  7. 8 D. Oldaker
  8. 9 H. Cardwell
  9. 19 L. Chambers-Parillon
  10. 27 R. Colclough
  11. 28 O. Coker
Substitutes (7)
  1. 10 S. Austin
  2. 13 J. Sims
  3. 14 P. Omochere
  4. 16 H. Taylor
  5. 17 Z. Massiah-Edwards
  6. 20 D. Cox
  7. 23 J. Popoola

Form and head-to-head: Carlisle v Southend

Carlisle

LWDWD
  • ABoreham Wood1–2L
  • HScunthorpe4–2W
  • AWealdstone1–1D
  • HAFC Hornchurch4–1W
  • AYeovil Town1–1D

Southend

WDLWW
  • HYeovil Town3–2W
  • AWoking1–1D
  • HKidderminster Harriers1–3L
  • ASolihull Moors3–1W
  • HScunthorpe1–0W

National League standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Boreham Wood 7 5 2 0 +8 17 DWWWW
2 Harrogate Town 7 5 1 1 +8 16 WWWLD
3 AFC Fylde 7 4 2 1 +7 14 WDWWL
4 Kidderminster Harriers 7 4 2 1 +5 14 WWDWD
5 Southend 7 4 2 1 +4 14 DWDLW
6 Aldershot Town 7 4 2 1 +4 14 WWDWD
7 Forest Green 7 4 0 3 +1 12 WWLLL
8 AFC Hornchurch 7 4 0 3 -1 12 LLWWL
9 Sutton Utd 7 4 0 3 -1 12 LLLWW
10 Yeovil Town 7 3 2 2 +1 11 LLWWW
11 Eastleigh 7 3 2 2 +1 11 DLDWW
12 Carlisle 7 2 3 2 +3 9 DLWDW
13 FC Halifax Town 7 3 0 4 +2 9 WLWLW
14 Hartlepool 7 3 0 4 -1 9 LWLLL
15 Altrincham 7 3 0 4 -5 9 LWWWL
16 Worthing 7 2 2 3 -1 8 DDLLW
17 Wealdstone 7 2 2 3 -2 8 WLWDL
18 Scunthorpe 7 2 1 4 -2 7 WLLWL
19 Woking 7 2 1 4 -2 7 WLDLW
20 Boston United 7 2 1 4 -2 7 LDLLW
21 Barrow 7 1 3 3 -1 6 DWDLD
22 Tamworth 7 1 2 4 -6 5 LDLWL
23 Gateshead 7 1 1 5 -8 4 LDLLL
24 Solihull Moors 7 0 1 6 -12 1 LDLLL

Managers: Carlisle v Southend

Kieron Dyer
SouthendManagerKieron Dyer

Match information: Carlisle v Southend

Kick-off
·
Competition
National League
Round
Regular Season – 7