Chester v Merthyr Town

0:1

Full time

Chester v Merthyr Town in National League – North ended 0:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Chester v Merthyr Town

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Chester at 50.0% - the match finished 0:1, so the prediction was wrong.

Model	1 · Chester	X	2 · Merthyr Town	Prediction	Result
ELO + Poisson	49.9%	26.5%	23.6%	Home win · Chester	✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)	50.0%	24.1%	25.9%	Home win · Chester	✘ Missed
Data Providers	45.0%	45.0%	10.0%	Home win · Chester	✘ Missed
Final score	0:1			Away win · Merthyr Town

Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Match events: Chester v Merthyr Town

44′L. Lucas · Goal

Form and head-to-head: Chester v Merthyr Town

Chester

LDLDW

12 Sep 2026ABuxton1–3L
5 Sep 2026AHebburn Town1–1D
31 Aug 2026HMorecambe0–1L
29 Aug 2026AHereford1–1D
22 Aug 2026HSpalding United1–0W

Merthyr Town

DWLDD

12 Sep 2026AScarborough Athletic0–0D
5 Sep 2026HMacclesfield2–1W
31 Aug 2026ABuxton1–2L
29 Aug 2026HChorley1–1D
22 Aug 2026ASouth Shields1–1D

National League – North standings

Current competition standings
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Hereford	9	7	1	1	+17	22	WWWWD
2	Oxford City	9	6	1	2	+11	19	WLWWL
3	Macclesfield	9	5	3	1	+6	18	DDLWW
4	Spalding United	9	5	2	2	+7	17	WWWDW
5	Hebburn Town	9	5	2	2	0	17	WLDLW
6	South Shields	8	5	2	1	-1	17	LWWDD
7	Buxton	9	5	1	3	+4	16	WWLWW
8	Bedford Town	9	5	0	4	0	15	LWWWW
9	Chester	9	4	2	3	+1	14	LLDLD
10	Morecambe	9	4	1	4	+5	13	WLWWW
11	Merthyr Town	9	3	4	2	+2	13	DWWLD
12	King's Lynn Town	9	4	1	4	0	13	WLWWL
13	Harborough Town	9	3	3	3	-1	12	DLLWL
14	Worksop Town	9	4	0	5	-3	12	WLWLL
15	Scarborough Athletic	9	3	2	4	+3	11	DDLLW
16	Chorley	9	3	2	4	-2	11	LWLDD
17	Marine	9	3	0	6	-1	9	WLLLW
18	AFC Telford United	9	2	3	4	-2	9	DWWLL
19	Hednesford Town	9	2	3	4	-3	9	LWLDW
20	Southport	9	2	2	5	-7	8	LWLLL
21	Brackley Town	8	2	2	4	-9	8	LLWDL
22	Radcliffe	9	2	0	7	-8	6	LWLLL
23	Darlington 1883	9	2	0	7	-9	6	LLLWL
24	Spennymoor Town	9	1	3	5	-10	6	DLLDL

Match information: Chester v Merthyr Town

Kick-off: Tue 8 Sep · 18:45
Competition: National League – North
Round: National League North – 8