Cittadella v Lumezzane in Serie C – Girone A ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Cittadella v Lumezzane
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Cittadella at 57.7% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Cittadella
X
2 · Lumezzane
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
49.7%
29.7%
20.7%
Home win · Cittadella
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
57.7%
23.7%
18.6%
Home win · Cittadella
✔ Correct
Final score
2:1
Home win · Cittadella
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.72 on a Cittadella win, 3.34 on the draw and 4.51 on a Lumezzane win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Cittadella win
1.72
1.78Pinnacle
58.1%
57.7%
Draw
3.34
3.50BetVictor
29.9%
23.7%
Lumezzane win
4.51
4.691xBet
22.2%
18.6%
Over 2.5 goals
1.93
2.01Pinnacle
51.8%
51.3%
Under 2.5 goals
1.81
1.95Bet365
55.2%
48.7%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.87
2.00Bet365
53.5%
48.8%
Both teams to score - No
1.81
1.85BetVictor
55.2%
51.2%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:22 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Cittadella v Lumezzane
5′⚽A. Barberis · Goal
7′⚽D. Falcinelli · Goal
18′🟨D. Falcinelli · Yellow card
41′⚽S. Mancini · Goal (assist: G. Anatriello)
50′🟨A. Ndrecka · Yellow card
51′🟨M. Rocca · Yellow card
62′🔄E. Anastasia · Substitution (off: F. Amatucci)
62′🔄D. Falcinelli · Substitution (off: M. Fabbro)
70′🔄L. Menegazzo · Substitution (off: A. Pavanati)
74′🟥A. Boffelli · Red card
77′🔄A. Ghillani · Substitution (off: N. Gauli)
78′🔄T. Ebone · Substitution (off: G. Monachello)
83′🔄M. Rolando · Substitution (off: S. D'Agostino)
83′🔄D. Baroncioni · Substitution (off: G. D'Angelo)