Deportivo Garcilaso v Universitario in Primera División ended 4:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Deportivo Garcilaso v Universitario
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Deportivo Garcilaso at 44.9% - the match finished 4:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Deportivo Garcilaso
X
2 · Universitario
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
55.1%
23.8%
21.1%
Home win · Deportivo Garcilaso
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
44.9%
25.2%
30.0%
Home win · Deportivo Garcilaso
✔ Correct
Data Providers
10.0%
45.0%
45.0%
Away win · Universitario
✘ Missed
Final score
4:0
Home win · Deportivo Garcilaso
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.89 on a Deportivo Garcilaso win, 3.11 on the draw and 2.39 on a Universitario win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Deportivo Garcilaso win
2.89
2.97Pinnacle
34.6%
44.9%
Draw
3.11
3.25Betfair
32.2%
25.2%
Universitario win
2.39
2.44Pinnacle
41.8%
30%
Over 2.5 goals
2.18
2.24Pinnacle
45.9%
50.5%
Under 2.5 goals
1.64
1.67Bet365
61%
49.5%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.85
1.87Betano
54.1%
51.1%
Both teams to score - No
1.85
1.91William Hill
54.1%
48.9%
Updated: 17.09.2026 12:16 · Average odds across 7 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Deportivo Garcilaso v Universitario
6′⚽Héctor Aldair Salazar · Goal (assist: Pablo Labrin)
10′⚽Pablo Labrin · Goal
18′🟨Jorge Murrugarra · Yellow card
19′⚽Agustin Gonzalez · Goal
32′🟨Piero Quispe · Yellow card
45′🔄Piero Quispe · Substitution (off: Adrian Quiroz)
58′⚽Facundo Castelli · Goal (assist: Francisco Arancibia)