Dominican Republic v Haiti

Dominican Republic v Haiti in CONCACAF Nations League ended 1:4. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Dominican Republic v Haiti

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Dominican Republic at 43.3% - the match finished 1:4, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Dominican Republic X 2 · Haiti Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 50.4% 23.2% 26.5% Home win · Dominican Republic ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 43.3% 21.3% 35.4% Home win · Dominican Republic ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Haiti ✔ Correct
Final score 1:4 Away win · Haiti
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.94 on a Dominican Republic win, 3.84 on the draw and 1.75 on a Haiti win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Dominican Republic win 3.94 4.26 Pinnacle 25.4% 43.3%
Draw 3.84 4.14 Pinnacle 26% 21.3%
Haiti win 1.75 2.02 SBO 57.1% 35.4%
Over 2.5 goals 1.56 1.62 Bet365 64.1% 63%
Under 2.5 goals 2.33 2.45 Betfair 42.9% 37%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.55 1.57 Betfair 64.5% 57.7%
Both teams to score - No 2.33 2.38 Betfair 42.9% 42.3%
Updated: 01.10.2026 19:42 · Average odds across 9 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Dominican Republic v Haiti

  1. 1′Martin Expérience · Yellow card
  2. 9′Louicius Deedson · Goal (assist: Ruben Providence)
  3. 10′Junior Firpo · Substitution (off: Peter Federico González Carmona)
  4. 17′dorny romero · Yellow card
  5. 23′Wilson Isidor · Penalty missed
  6. 45′Hannes Delcroix · Yellow card
  7. 51′Wilson Isidor · Goal
  8. 55′dorny romero · Goal (assist: Edgar Climent Pujol Portorreal)
  9. 61′Louicius Deedson · Substitution (off: Yassin Fortune)
  10. 62′Fafà Picault · Substitution (off: Frantzdy Pierrot)
  11. 67′Wilson Isidor · Goal
  12. 72′Wilson Isidor · Substitution (off: Dany Jean)
  13. 75′jean lopez · Substitution (off: Yordy Álvarez)
  14. 75′Heinz Mörschel · Substitution (off: Juan pineda)
  15. 76′Yassin Fortune · Goal (assist: Ruben Providence)
  16. 79′Mariano Díaz · Yellow card
  17. 82′Carl Sainte · Yellow card
  18. 82′Ruben Providence · Substitution (off: Lovens Delinois)
  19. 82′Jean-Ricner Bellegarde · Substitution (off: Kenny Quetant)
  20. 82′Noah Dollenmayer · Substitution (off: Daniel flores)
  21. 82′Luiyi de Lucas · Substitution (off: Jeremy baez)

Match statistics: Dominican Republic v Haiti

Statistic Dominican Republic Haiti
Possession 54% 46%
Shots on target 6 11
Total shots 14 14
Shots off target 6 2
Blocked shots 2 1
Corners 4 5
Fouls 13 13
Offsides 3 0
Yellow cards 2 3
Red cards 0 0
Saves 7 5
Passes 311 284

Line-ups: Dominican Republic v Haiti

Dominican Republic 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 X. Valdez 6.9
  2. 3 Junior Firpo 5.7
  3. 4 Edgar Pujol 6.4
  4. 5 N. Dollenmayer 5.3
  5. 6 P. Rosario 5.6
  6. 8 H. Mörschel 6.8
  7. 9 M. Díaz 6.4
  8. 14 Jean Carlos López Moscoso 5.5
  9. 17 D. Romero 7.5
  10. 21 Juan Carlos Familia-Castillo 6.1
  11. 23 L. de Lucas 6.2
Substitutes (11)
  1. 2 J. Baez 5.7
  2. 7 J. Pineda 6.3
  3. 10 J. Roces
  4. 11 Anyelo Gómez
  5. 12 E. Frias
  6. 13 Yordy Álvarez 5.8
  7. 15 B. López
  8. 16 D. Flores 5.8
  9. 19 Peter 6.2
  10. 20 Lucas Bretón Salcedo
  11. 22 P. Espinal

Haiti 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 A. Pierre 7.1
  2. 2 C. Arcus 6.5
  3. 5 H. Delcroix 6.3
  4. 6 C. Sainté 6.7
  5. 7 F. Picault 6.3
  6. 8 M. Expérience 6.2
  7. 10 J. Bellegarde 7.1
  8. 11 L. Deedson 8.1
  9. 15 R. Providence 7.9
  10. 17 D. Jean-Jacques 6.5
  11. 18 W. Isidor 9.1
Substitutes (10)
  1. 3 F. Dulysse
  2. 9 K. Quetant 6.8
  3. 13 D. Lacroix
  4. 14 K. Thermoncy
  5. 16 L. Delinois 6.6
  6. 19 Y. Fortuné 7.4
  7. 20 F. Pierrot 6.6
  8. 21 D. Jean 6.4
  9. 22 J. Duverne
  10. 23 J. Duverger

Form and head-to-head: Dominican Republic v Haiti

Dominican Republic

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Haiti

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CONCACAF Nations League standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Managers: Dominican Republic v Haiti

M. Neveleff
Dominican RepublicManagerM. Neveleff
David Badia
HaitiManagerDavid Badia

Match information: Dominican Republic v Haiti

Kick-off
·
Competition
CONCACAF Nations League
Round
League A – 1