Dominican Republic v Nicaragua

Dominican Republic v Nicaragua in CONCACAF Nations League ended 3:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Dominican Republic v Nicaragua

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Dominican Republic at 52.5% - the match finished 3:2, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Dominican Republic X 2 · Nicaragua Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 2.4% 13.6% 84.1% Away win · Nicaragua ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 52.5% 20.3% 27.3% Home win · Dominican Republic ✔ Correct
Data Providers 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% Home win · Dominican Republic ✔ Correct
Final score 3:2 Home win · Dominican Republic
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.51 on a Dominican Republic win, 3.90 on the draw and 5.97 on a Nicaragua win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Dominican Republic win 1.51 1.55 Pinnacle 66.2% 52.5%
Draw 3.90 4.10 Bet365 25.6% 20.3%
Nicaragua win 5.97 6.50 Betfair 16.8% 27.3%
Over 2.5 goals 1.97 2.02 Pinnacle 50.8% 54.7%
Under 2.5 goals 1.80 1.85 Bet365 55.6% 45.3%
Both teams to score - Yes 2.03 2.10 Betfair 49.3% 47.8%
Both teams to score - No 1.71 1.75 William Hill 58.5% 52.2%
Updated: 24.09.2026 19:07 · Average odds across 9 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Dominican Republic v Nicaragua

  1. 4′Kadeem Cole · Yellow card
  2. 5′Heinz Mörschel · Goal (assist: Mariano Díaz)
  3. 15′Mariano Díaz · Goal
  4. 40′jean lopez · Yellow card
  5. 40′luis juan perez · Goal
  6. 46′Marvin fletes · Substitution (off: Oscar Acevedo)
  7. 50′Junior Firpo · Yellow card
  8. 60′Jaime Moreno · Yellow card
  9. 61′Edarlyn Reyes · Substitution (off: dorny romero)
  10. 63′Joab Gutierrez · Substitution (off: widman talavera)
  11. 63′Jonathan Moncada · Substitution (off: Jacob Christian Montes)
  12. 64′Jaime Moreno · Substitution (off: Jorge García Hurtado)
  13. 70′Mariano Díaz · Substitution (off: Edison Azcona)
  14. 70′Peter Federico González Carmona · Substitution (off: Juan pineda)
  15. 70′Efraín Mejía · Substitution (off: Byron Bonilla)
  16. 72′Oscar Acevedo · Yellow card
  17. 78′Junior Firpo · Substitution (off: Lucas Bretón Salcedo)
  18. 78′jean lopez · Substitution (off: Daniel flores)
  19. 84′Byron Bonilla · Goal (assist: Raheem Cole)
  20. 90+2′ · Yellow card
  21. 90+4′ · Yellow card
  22. 90+7′ · Goal

Form and head-to-head: Dominican Republic v Nicaragua

Dominican Republic

LWLDD

Nicaragua

LLLDL

CONCACAF Nations League standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Match information: Dominican Republic v Nicaragua

Kick-off
·
Competition
CONCACAF Nations League
Round
League A – 1