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Elva v Nõmme Kalju II

Esiliiga A
Elva
1:0
Full time
Nõmme Kalju II

Elva v Nõmme Kalju II in Esiliiga A ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Elva v Nõmme Kalju II

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Elva at 80.9% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Elva X 2 · Nõmme Kalju II Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 52.1% 22.0% 25.9% Home win · Elva ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 80.9% 10.1% 9.0% Home win · Elva ✔ Correct
Final score 1:0 Home win · Elva
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.73 on a Elva win, 4.09 on the draw and 3.39 on a Nõmme Kalju II win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Elva win 1.73 1.75 Pinnacle 57.8% 80.9%
Draw 4.09 4.20 Bet365 24.4% 10.1%
Nõmme Kalju II win 3.39 3.66 1xBet 29.5% 9%
Over 2.5 goals 1.27 1.30 Bet365 78.7% 65.7%
Under 2.5 goals 3.32 3.40 Bet365 30.1% 34.3%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.31 1.33 William Hill 76.3% 43.8%
Both teams to score - No 3.05 3.12 1xBet 32.8% 56.2%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:20 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Elva v Nõmme Kalju II

  1. 31′P. Alev · Goal (assist: K. Haabma)

Form and head-to-head: Elva v Nõmme Kalju II

Elva

LWDWL
  • AViimsi0–5L
  • ANõmme United II1–0W
  • HFlora II0–0D
  • HMaardu1–0W
  • ATallinna Kalev0–1L

Nõmme Kalju II

LWLLL
  • HFlora II1–5L
  • AFC Tallinn2–0W
  • HTartu Welco2–4L
  • HTallinna Kalev0–3L
  • ANõmme United II0–2L

Head-to-head – last 2 meetings

Elva wins: 0; draws: 1; Nõmme Kalju II wins: 1.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Nõmme Kalju II 2–2 Elva Esiliiga A
Elva 2–4 Nõmme Kalju II Esiliiga A

Esiliiga A standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Tartu Welco 27 17 4 6 +37 55 DLWWW
2 Viimsi 27 14 5 8 +23 47 LWWLW
3 Flora II 27 13 5 9 +16 44 LWDWL
4 Elva 27 13 5 9 +7 44 WWDWL
5 Maardu 27 12 5 10 -10 41 WWWLW
6 FCI Levadia II 27 12 1 14 +1 37 WLWLL
7 Tallinna Kalev 27 10 6 11 -2 36 DLLWW
8 FC Tallinn 27 7 7 13 -24 28 WLLDL
9 Nõmme United II 27 7 6 14 -15 27 LLLDW
10 Nõmme Kalju II 27 6 4 17 -33 22 LWLLL

Match information: Elva v Nõmme Kalju II

Kick-off
·
Competition
Esiliiga A
Round
Regular Season – 27