Erzgebirge Aue v Luckenwalde

2:1

Full time

Erzgebirge Aue v Luckenwalde in Regionalliga – Nordost ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Erzgebirge Aue v Luckenwalde

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Erzgebirge Aue at 62.5% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.

Model	1 · Erzgebirge Aue	X	2 · Luckenwalde	Prediction	Result
ELO + Poisson	48.2%	25.4%	26.5%	Home win · Erzgebirge Aue	✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)	62.5%	18.8%	18.7%	Home win · Erzgebirge Aue	✔ Correct
Data Providers	50.0%	50.0%	0.0%	Home win · Erzgebirge Aue	✔ Correct
Final score	2:1			Home win · Erzgebirge Aue

Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Form and head-to-head: Erzgebirge Aue v Luckenwalde

Erzgebirge Aue

WDLLW

30 Aug 2026ALokomotive Leipzig2–1W
26 Aug 2026HHertha BSC II0–0D
22 Aug 2026HTSG Hoffenheim0–4L
15 August 2026AChemnitzer FC1–3L
9 Aug 2026HBFC Preussen2–1W

Luckenwalde

LLLLW

30 Aug 2026HBFC Dynamo0–2L
25 Aug 2026HFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt0–5L
14 August 2026AFSV Zwickau1–2L
8 Aug 2026HTasmania Berlin2–3L
4 Aug 2026AMagdeburg II1–0W

Regionalliga – Nordost standings

Current competition standings
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	8	6	2	0	+23	20	WDWWW
2	Chemnitzer FC	8	6	2	0	+15	20	WDWWD
3	Erzgebirge Aue	8	5	2	1	+4	17	WWDLW
4	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	8	5	1	2	+8	16	WWDWL
5	BFC Dynamo	8	4	2	2	+4	14	WWWDD
6	FSV Zwickau	8	4	2	2	-1	14	DWWWD
7	Hallescher FC	8	3	4	1	+4	13	DWWLD
8	Magdeburg II	8	4	1	3	+2	13	LWWLW
9	Greifswalder FC	7	3	3	1	+5	12	DWDLW
10	Altglienicke	8	3	3	2	+2	12	LLDWW
11	Lokomotive Leipzig	7	3	1	3	0	10	LLWLW
12	SV Babelsberg 03	8	1	3	4	-3	6	DLLDL
13	BFC Preussen	8	1	3	4	-4	6	WDLDL
14	RSV Eintracht	8	1	3	4	-9	6	LLLDD
15	Hertha BSC II	8	1	2	5	-13	5	LLDDL
16	Tasmania Berlin	8	1	1	6	-16	4	LLDLW
17	BSG Chemie Leipzig	8	0	3	5	-7	3	DDLLD
18	Luckenwalde	8	1	0	7	-14	3	LLLLL

Match information: Erzgebirge Aue v Luckenwalde

Kick-off: Sat 12 Sep · 12:00
Competition: Regionalliga – Nordost
Round: Nordost – 8
Venue: Erzgebirgsstadion
City: Aue
Surface: grass
Capacity: 16,080