Étoile Carouge v Winterthur

Étoile Carouge v Winterthur in Swiss Challenge League ended 0:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Étoile Carouge v Winterthur

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Étoile Carouge at 43.0% - the match finished 0:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Étoile Carouge X 2 · Winterthur Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 62.7% 20.8% 16.5% Home win · Étoile Carouge ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 43.0% 22.3% 34.8% Home win · Étoile Carouge ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Winterthur ✔ Correct
Final score 0:1 Away win · Winterthur
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.48 on a Étoile Carouge win, 3.41 on the draw and 2.48 on a Winterthur win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Étoile Carouge win 2.48 2.54 Pinnacle 40.3% 43%
Draw 3.41 3.54 Pinnacle 29.3% 22.3%
Winterthur win 2.48 2.57 Pinnacle 40.3% 34.8%
Over 2.5 goals 1.49 1.54 Pinnacle 67.1% 50.9%
Under 2.5 goals 2.37 2.41 Pinnacle 42.2% 49.1%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.43 1.44 William Hill 69.9% 52.2%
Both teams to score - No 2.56 2.62 1xBet 39.1% 47.8%
Updated: 07.09.2026 11:10 · Average odds across 4 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Étoile Carouge v Winterthur

  1. 42′F. Rohner · Yellow card
  2. 53′T. Golliard · Goal (assist: B. Beyer)
  3. 58′S. Camara · Yellow card
  4. 62′L. Essiena · Substitution (off: S. Bossiwa)
  5. 69′A. Marchesano · Substitution (off: S. Ottiger)
  6. 69′Ricardo Alves · Substitution (off: B. Cespedes)
  7. 69′B. Caslei · Substitution (off: O. Correia)
  8. 81′L. Zuka · Substitution (off: F. Hoxha)
  9. 81′N. Boulkous · Substitution (off: M. El Jaouhari)
  10. 82′E. Maluvunu · Substitution (off: S. Diaby)
  11. 82′B. Beyer · Substitution (off: R. Buess)
  12. 82′F. Rohner · Substitution (off: A. Turkes)
  13. 90+3′S. Camara · Substitution (off: L. Maksutaj)
  14. 90+4′A. Turkes · Yellow card

Form and head-to-head: Étoile Carouge v Winterthur

Étoile Carouge

DLWDW
  • HFC WIL 19001–1D
  • AStade Lausanne-Ouchy0–3L
  • HRapperswil2–1W
  • AStade Nyonnais0–0D
  • ACollex-Bossy2–0W

Winterthur

WDDWW
  • HNeuchatel Xamax FC4–0W
  • AStade Nyonnais2–2D
  • HStade Lausanne-Ouchy1–1D
  • ARapperswil2–0W
  • AZürich City3–1W

Swiss Challenge League standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 8 6 2 0 +14 20 WWWDW
2 Winterthur 8 4 3 1 +10 15 WWDDW
3 Yverdon Sport 8 4 3 1 +5 15 LWWDW
4 Neuchatel Xamax FC 8 4 0 4 -2 12 WLLLL
5 FC Aarau 7 3 2 2 -1 11 DWDWL
6 SC Kriens 7 3 1 3 +2 10 DLDWW
7 Étoile Carouge 8 2 3 3 -1 9 LDLWD
8 Rapperswil 8 2 1 5 -4 7 WLDLL
9 FC WIL 1900 8 1 3 4 -11 6 LDDDL
10 Stade Nyonnais 8 0 2 6 -12 2 LLDLD

Match information: Étoile Carouge v Winterthur

Kick-off
·
Competition
Swiss Challenge League
Round
Regular Season – 8
City
Carouge
Surface
grass
Capacity
30,084