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Fagiano Okayama v Sanfrecce Hiroshima

J1 League
Fagiano Okayama
3:2
Full time
Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Fagiano Okayama v Sanfrecce Hiroshima in J1 League ended 3:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Fagiano Okayama v Sanfrecce Hiroshima

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 50.5% - the match finished 3:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Fagiano Okayama X 2 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 45.5% 24.3% 30.2% Home win · Fagiano Okayama ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 27.3% 22.3% 50.5% Away win · Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✘ Missed
Final score 3:2 Home win · Fagiano Okayama
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.83 on a Fagiano Okayama win, 3.64 on the draw and 1.89 on a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Fagiano Okayama win 3.83 4.00 Pinnacle 26.1% 27.3%
Draw 3.64 3.75 Pinnacle 27.5% 22.3%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win 1.89 1.94 1xBet 52.9% 50.5%
Over 2.5 goals 1.75 1.80 Pinnacle 57.1% 50.7%
Under 2.5 goals 2.05 2.10 Pinnacle 48.8% 49.3%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.64 1.67 Bet365 61% 45.8%
Both teams to score - No 2.13 2.15 William Hill 46.9% 54.2%
Updated: 06.09.2026 04:50 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Fagiano Okayama v Sanfrecce Hiroshima

  1. 10′Kota Kawano · Goal (assist: Lucas Marcos Meireles)
  2. 16′Oberdan Alionço de Lima · Yellow card
  3. 21′Kota Kawano · Goal (assist: Oberdan Alionço de Lima)
  4. 45+2′Sébastien Haller · Goal (assist: Mutsuki Kato)
  5. 45′Naoto Arai · Substitution (off: Shun Ayukawa)
  6. 50′Kota Kawano · Goal (assist: Haruka Motoyama)
  7. 58′Mutsuki Kato · Substitution (off: Takumu Kawamura)
  8. 58′Kota Kawano · Substitution (off: Léo Gaúcho)
  9. 64′Hayao Kawabe · Goal (assist: Akito Suzuki)
  10. 65′Lucas Marcos Meireles · Substitution (off: Kamiya Yuta)
  11. 66′Ibuki Fujita · Substitution (off: Eiji Miyamoto)
  12. 66′Ataru Esaka · Substitution (off: Na Sang-Ho)
  13. 79′Hayato Araki · Substitution (off: Sota Koshimichi)
  14. 79′Yotaro Nakajima · Substitution (off: Taishi Matsumoto)
  15. 86′Shunki Higashi · Substitution (off: Daiki Suga)
  16. 88′Kosuke Shirai · Substitution (off: Daichi Tagami)
  17. 90+3′Eiji Miyamoto · Yellow card
  18. 90+9′Léo Gaúcho · Substitution (off: Soichiro Mori)

Match statistics: Fagiano Okayama v Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Statistic Fagiano Okayama Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Possession 23% 77%
Shots on target 5 7
Total shots 10 20
Shots off target 4 12
Blocked shots 1 1
Corners 2 8
Fouls 14 8
Offsides 2 4
Yellow cards 1 0
Red cards 1 0
Saves 5 2
Passes 240 790

Line-ups: Fagiano Okayama v Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 L. Moser 6.8
  2. 6 H. Omori 6.4
  3. 8 A. Esaka 6.2
  4. 20 K. Kawano 9.3
  5. 24 I. Fujita 6.3
  6. 26 H. Motoyama 6.5
  7. 43 Y. Suzuki 6.3
  8. 48 Y. Tatsuta 6.7
  9. 51 K. Shirai 6.3
  10. 80 Oberdan 6.1
  11. 99 Lucão 7.2
Substitutes (9)
  1. 9 Léo Gaúcho 6.4
  2. 10 Na Sang-Ho 6.6
  3. 18 D. Tagami 6.1
  4. 33 Y. Kamiya 6.0
  5. 41 E. Miyamoto 5.9
  6. 44 S. Mori
  7. 77 G. Kawanami
  8. 79 N. Browne
  9. 88 T. Yamane

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 4 H. Araki 6.5
  2. 5 N. Arai 6.4
  3. 6 H. Kawabe 8.2
  4. 7 S. Higashi 7.2
  5. 10 A. Suzuki 6.3
  6. 11 M. Kato 7.1
  7. 15 S. Nakano 6.3
  8. 19 S. Sasaki 7.3
  9. 22 S. Haller 7.5
  10. 35 Y. Nakajima 7.2
  11. 99 I. Ouchi 6.0
Substitutes (8)
  1. 1 K. Osako
  2. 8 T. Kawamura 5.9
  3. 14 T. Matsumoto 6.6
  4. 18 D. Suga 6.0
  5. 23 S. Ayukawa 6.2
  6. 32 S. Koshimichi 5.7
  7. 37 Kim Ju-Sung
  8. 46 R. Noguchi

Form and head-to-head: Fagiano Okayama v Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Fagiano Okayama

WWLWD
  • AUrawa2–1W
  • AJEF United Chiba2–1W
  • ANagoya Grampus1–2L
  • HBeluga Rosso Iwami3–0W
  • HTokyo Verdy0–0D

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

WWDWD
  • HCerezo Osaka6–1W
  • HNagoya Grampus3–0W
  • AGamba Osaka0–0D
  • HOkinawa SV4–1W
  • HKawasaki Frontale1–1D

J1 League standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Machida Zelvia 7 5 2 0 +13 17 DWWDW
2 Vissel Kobe 7 5 1 1 +6 16 WWWWL
3 Kashiwa Reysol 7 5 0 2 +3 15 WLLWW
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7 4 2 1 +13 14 WLWDD
5 FC Tokyo 7 4 2 1 +5 14 WWDWW
6 Fagiano Okayama 7 4 1 2 +2 13 WWWLD
7 Kawasaki Frontale 7 3 3 1 +4 12 WWLWD
8 Kashima 7 4 0 3 +1 12 LLLWW
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 7 3 2 2 +2 11 DWDLW
10 Cerezo Osaka 7 3 1 3 -5 10 LDWLW
11 Mito Hollyhock 7 2 3 2 +2 9 LDWDW
12 Urawa 7 3 0 4 -4 9 LWWWL
13 Shimizu S-pulse 7 2 1 4 -3 7 WLDLL
14 V-varen Nagasaki 7 2 1 4 -5 7 WLDLL
15 Gamba Osaka 7 1 3 3 -5 6 LLDDL
16 Nagoya Grampus 7 2 0 5 -6 6 LLLWW
17 Kyoto Sanga 7 1 2 4 -5 5 LLDWL
18 Avispa Fukuoka 7 1 1 5 -2 4 LDLLL
19 Tokyo Verdy 7 0 4 3 -6 4 DDLLD
20 JEF United Chiba 7 1 1 5 -10 4 DWLLL

Managers: Fagiano Okayama v Sanfrecce Hiroshima

T. Kiyama
Fagiano OkayamaManagerT. Kiyama

Match information: Fagiano Okayama v Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Kick-off
·
Competition
J1 League
Round
Regular Season – 6
Venue
City Light Stadium
City
Okayama