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Fakel v Baltika

Russian Premier League
Fakel
2:2
Full time
Baltika

Fakel v Baltika in Russian Premier League ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Fakel v Baltika

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Baltika at 38.2% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Fakel X 2 · Baltika Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 36.9% 28.2% 35.0% Home win · Fakel ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 34.8% 27.1% 38.2% Away win · Baltika ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Baltika ✘ Missed
Final score 2:2 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.43 on a Fakel win, 2.98 on the draw and 2.31 on a Baltika win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Fakel win 3.43 3.58 1xBet 29.2% 34.8%
Draw 2.98 3.10 1xBet 33.6% 27.1%
Baltika win 2.31 2.42 1xBet 43.3% 38.2%
Over 2.5 goals 2.61 2.63 Pinnacle 38.3% 47%
Under 2.5 goals 1.50 1.50 Marathonbet 66.7% 53%
Both teams to score - Yes 2.11 2.11 Marathonbet 47.4% 48.4%
Both teams to score - No 1.66 1.66 1xBet 60.2% 51.6%
Updated: 07.09.2026 17:12 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Fakel v Baltika

  1. 10′Andrey Mendel · Yellow card
  2. 13′Ravil Netfullin · Goal (assist: Aleksey Sutormin)
  3. 45′Maksim Petrov · Substitution (off: Ilya Petrov)
  4. 45′Aleksey Sutormin · Substitution (off: Butta Magomedov)
  5. 45′Vladislav Pospelov · Substitution (off: Egor Golenkov)
  6. 45′Mingiyan Beveev · Substitution (off: Maksim Shnaptsev)
  7. 47′Eduardo Anderson · Yellow card
  8. 51′Butta Magomedov · Goal
  9. 65′Andrey Mendel · Substitution (off: Ivan Belikov)
  10. 65′Nathan Gassama · Substitution (off: Mikhail Ryadno)
  11. 68′Aleksandr Koksharov · Substitution (off: Axel Gnapi)
  12. 68′Maksim Turishchev · Substitution (off: Nikolay Giorgobiani)
  13. 74′Egor Golenkov · Goal (assist: Brayan Gil)
  14. 76′Anton Kovalev · Substitution (off: Darko Todorovic)
  15. 82′Loris Mouyokolo · Yellow card

Match statistics: Fakel v Baltika

Statistic Fakel Baltika
Possession 40% 60%
Shots on target 3 3
Total shots 9 16
Shots off target 4 8
Blocked shots 2 5
Corners 3 7
Fouls 16 11
Offsides 1 2
Yellow cards 0 3
Red cards 0 0
Saves 2 1
Passes 235 356

Line-ups: Fakel v Baltika

Fakel 3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 1 D. Frolkin 6.2
  2. 5 A. Gabaraev 6.4
  3. 7 M. Turishchev 6.3
  4. 11 A. Sutormin 7.1
  5. 17 A. Kovalev 6.4
  6. 20 I. Yurganov 6.9
  7. 23 V. Yakimov 6.0
  8. 40 Clayton 6.3
  9. 52 R. Netfullin 7.6
  10. 53 M. Bardachev 6.5
  11. 90 A. Koksharov 6.5
Substitutes (10)
  1. 8 A. Bagamaev
  2. 9 A. Gnapi Dable 6.8
  3. 19 B. Pusi
  4. 22 H. El Mahasni
  5. 25 A. Belyaev
  6. 35 V. Dorovskikh
  7. 44 Y. Zhuravlev
  8. 55 D. Todorović 6.6
  9. 97 B. Magomedov 7.1
  10. 99 N. Giorgobiani 6.7

Baltika 5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 E. Latyshonok 6.3
  2. 2 S. Varatynov 6.5
  3. 4 N. Gassama 5.5
  4. 5 A. Mourid 6.1
  5. 8 A. Mendel 6.1
  6. 21 E. Anderson 6.4
  7. 22 M. Beveev 6.2
  8. 24 L. Mouyokolo 5.8
  9. 42 V. Pospelov 6.2
  10. 73 M. Petrov 6.5
  11. 91 B. Gil 7.0
Substitutes (11)
  1. 3 I. Kirsch
  2. 7 K. Shiltsov
  3. 9 C. Offor
  4. 10 I. Petrov 6.3
  5. 19 M. Shnaptsev 5.9
  6. 26 I. Belikov 6.0
  7. 44 E. Lyubakov
  8. 68 M. Ryadno 6.0
  9. 69 E. Golenkov 7.1
  10. 77 E. Ćivić
  11. 81 I. Kukushkin

Form and head-to-head: Fakel v Baltika

Fakel

LDLDL
  • AFC Rostov1–3L
  • HFC Krasnodar1–1D
  • HZenit0–1L
  • HFC Orenburg0–0D
  • AAkhmat1–2L

Baltika

LDWDD
  • HLokomotiv0–1L
  • HKrylia Sovetov0–0D
  • ARodina Moskva3–0W
  • HRubin1–1D
  • HDinamo Makhachkala1–1D

Russian Premier League standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 FC Krasnodar 8 6 2 0 +7 20 DDWWW
2 Dynamo 8 5 1 2 +3 16 WWWWL
3 CSKA Moscow 8 4 4 0 +4 16 DWDWW
4 Spartak Moscow 8 5 1 2 +8 16 WLDWW
5 Zenit 8 5 0 3 +9 15 WLWLW
6 Dinamo Makhachkala 8 4 0 4 +1 12 LWLLW
7 Baltika 8 3 2 3 +3 11 DLWDL
8 Rubin 8 2 5 1 +1 11 DDWDD
9 Akhmat 8 2 4 2 +2 10 WDDWL
10 Krylia Sovetov 8 2 4 2 -1 10 WDDWL
11 FC Orenburg 8 1 5 2 -3 8 LDDDD
12 FC Rostov 8 2 2 4 -4 8 LWLLD
13 Lokomotiv 8 1 3 4 -3 6 LWLLD
14 Akron 8 0 5 3 -9 5 DDDLD
15 Rodina Moskva 8 1 1 6 -12 4 LLLLD
16 Fakel 8 0 3 5 -6 3 DLLDL

Managers: Fakel v Baltika

A. Talalaev
BaltikaManagerA. Talalaev

Match information: Fakel v Baltika

Kick-off
·
Competition
Russian Premier League
Round
Regular Season – 8