Grom Nowy Staw v Polonia Środa

Grom Nowy Staw v Polonia Środa in III Liga – Group 2 ended 4:4. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Grom Nowy Staw v Polonia Środa

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Polonia Środa at 55.6% - the match finished 4:4, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Grom Nowy Staw X 2 · Polonia Środa Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 37.8% 22.7% 39.5% Away win · Polonia Środa ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 27.2% 17.3% 55.6% Away win · Polonia Środa ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Polonia Środa ✘ Missed
Final score 4:4 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 4.28 on a Grom Nowy Staw win, 3.97 on the draw and 1.60 on a Polonia Środa win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Grom Nowy Staw win 4.28 4.60 BetVictor 23.4% 27.2%
Draw 3.97 4.20 Bet365 25.2% 17.3%
Polonia Środa win 1.60 1.62 Pinnacle 62.5% 55.6%
Over 2.5 goals 1.41 1.43 Pinnacle 70.9% 75.1%
Under 2.5 goals 2.60 2.75 Bet365 38.5% 24.9%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.46 1.47 BetVictor 68.5% 64%
Both teams to score - No 2.46 2.50 BetVictor 40.7% 36%
Updated: 05.09.2026 04:42 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Grom Nowy Staw v Polonia Środa

  1. 37′J. Wilczynski · Goal
  2. 41′I. Jankowski · Penalty
  3. 42′J. Wilczynski · Goal
  4. 45+2′I. Jankowski · Goal
  5. 47′W. Zielinski · Goal
  6. 80′A. Mielnik · Goal
  7. 86′P. Mikita · Penalty
  8. 89′P. Skrobosinski · Goal

Form and head-to-head: Grom Nowy Staw v Polonia Środa

Grom Nowy Staw

LWLLL
  • ALuzino1–5L
  • ALech Poznań II4–2W
  • HKluczevia Stargard3–4L
  • AWda Świecie2–4L
  • HElana Toruń1–2L

Polonia Środa

WWWWW
  • HUnia Swarzędz4–3W
  • HSandecja Nowy Sącz3–2W
  • HGedania Gdansk4–3W
  • ALipno Stęszew3–2W
  • HStargard Szczeciński4–1W

III Liga – Group 2 standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Polonia Środa 7 6 1 0 +12 19 DWWWW
2 Wda Świecie 7 5 2 0 +6 17 WWWWD
3 Luzino 7 5 1 1 +12 16 WWLWW
4 Flota Świnoujście 7 4 1 2 +5 13 WLDWW
5 Kluczevia Stargard 7 4 1 2 +2 13 LWWDW
6 Kalisz 7 3 3 1 +5 12 DWDLD
7 Noteć Czarnków 7 4 0 3 +3 12 WLWWW
8 Lech Poznań II 7 3 2 2 +1 11 DLWWL
9 Stargard Szczeciński 7 3 1 3 +1 10 LWWLW
10 Bałtyk Koszalin 7 2 3 2 -1 9 DWDWL
11 Grom Nowy Staw 7 2 1 4 -1 7 DWLLL
12 Kotwica Kórnik 7 2 1 4 -3 7 WWLLD
13 Unia Swarzędz 7 2 1 4 -5 7 DLLWL
14 Gedania Gdansk 7 1 3 3 -4 6 LLLDD
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 7 1 3 3 -5 6 DLDLL
16 Elana Toruń 7 1 2 4 -7 5 LLLLW
17 Victoria Września 7 1 1 5 -12 4 DLWLL
18 Lipno Stęszew 7 0 1 6 -9 1 LLLLL

Match information: Grom Nowy Staw v Polonia Środa

Kick-off
·
Competition
III Liga – Group 2
Round
Group II – 7