Guinea-Bissau v Nigeria

Guinea-Bissau v Nigeria in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers ended 3:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Guinea-Bissau v Nigeria

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Nigeria at 58.9% - the match finished 3:0, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Guinea-Bissau X 2 · Nigeria Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 51.3% 26.0% 22.7% Home win · Guinea-Bissau ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 22.7% 18.5% 58.9% Away win · Nigeria ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Nigeria ✘ Missed
Final score 3:0 Home win · Guinea-Bissau
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 6.95 on a Guinea-Bissau win, 3.66 on the draw and 1.48 on a Nigeria win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Guinea-Bissau win 6.95 7.80 Betano 14.4% 22.7%
Draw 3.66 4.00 Betano 27.3% 18.5%
Nigeria win 1.48 1.55 Betano 67.6% 58.9%
Over 2.5 goals 2.30 2.35 Bet365 43.5% 64.5%
Under 2.5 goals 1.56 1.57 Betfair 64.1% 35.5%
Both teams to score - Yes 2.43 2.62 Bet365 41.2% 50.2%
Both teams to score - No 1.49 1.53 William Hill 67.1% 49.8%
Updated: 29.09.2026 13:30 · Average odds across 9 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Guinea-Bissau v Nigeria

  1. 15′Franculino Gluda Dju · Goal (assist: Renato Nhaga)
  2. 45′Frank Onyeka · Substitution (off: Moses Usor)
  3. 45′Taiwo Awoniyi · Substitution (off: Moses Simon)
  4. 61′Renato Nhaga · Substitution (off: Manadi Camara)
  5. 66′Mama Baldé · Goal (assist: Manadi Camara)
  6. 68′Ademola Lookman · Substitution (off: Tolu Arokodare)
  7. 71′Ronaldo Vieira · Substitution (off: Alfa Semedo)
  8. 71′Mama Baldé · Substitution (off: Mauro Rodrigues)
  9. 75′Opa Sangante · Yellow card
  10. 76′Akor Adams · Substitution (off: George Ilenikhena)
  11. 76′Wilfred Ndidi · Substitution (off: Raphael Onyedika Nwadike)
  12. 79′Beto · Substitution (off: Alvaro Djalo Dias Fernandes)
  13. 79′Franculino Gluda Dju · Substitution (off: Tamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro)
  14. 88′Alfa Semedo · Yellow card

Match statistics: Guinea-Bissau v Nigeria

Statistic Guinea-Bissau Nigeria
Possession 44% 56%
Shots on target 6 5
Total shots 10 12
Shots off target 3 4
Blocked shots 1 3
Corners 3 5
Fouls 16 16
Offsides 1 1
Yellow cards 2 0
Red cards 0 0
Saves 5 4
Passes 286 359

Line-ups: Guinea-Bissau v Nigeria

Guinea-Bissau 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 2 Víctor Rofino 7.3
  2. 3 Adramane Cassamá 6.7
  3. 7 Dálcio 6.8
  4. 9 Beto 6.3
  5. 10 Franculino Djú 7.8
  6. 11 R. Vieira 7.1
  7. 15 Jefferson Encada 7.4
  8. 17 Mama Baldé 8.1
  9. 19 Renato Nhaga 7.7
  10. 22 Opa Sanganté 6.5
Substitutes (11)
  1. 1 Manuel Baldé
  2. 4 Alfa Semedo 6.7
  3. 5 Iano Imbene
  4. 8 Panutche Camará
  5. 13 Tamble Monteiro 6.4
  6. 14 Mauro Rodrigues 6.9
  7. 16 Mamadi Camará 6.9
  8. 18 Gilberto Batista
  9. 20 Álvaro Djaló 6.4
  10. 21 Steve Ambri
  11. 25 Danio Djassi

Nigeria 4-3-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 3 S. Onyemaechi 6.6
  2. 4 W. Ndidi 6.5
  3. 6 S. Ajayi 6.4
  4. 7 A. Lookman 6.2
  5. 8 F. Onyeka 6.3
  6. 12 B. Osayi-Samuel 6.4
  7. 17 A. Iwobi 6.6
  8. 19 T. Awoniyi 5.9
  9. 21 C. Bassey 6.8
  10. 22 A. Adams 6.0
  11. 23 S. Nwabali 6.6
Substitutes (12)
  1. 1 M. Okoye
  2. 2 O. Aina
  3. 9 G. Ilenikhena 6.9
  4. 10 T. Arokodare 6.3
  5. 11 S. Chukwueze
  6. 13 C. Nwaiwu
  7. 14 I. James
  8. 15 M. Simon 6.7
  9. 16 A. Okonkwo
  10. 18 E. Fernandez
  11. 20 R. Onyedika 6.1
  12. 24 M. Usor 6.8

Form and head-to-head: Guinea-Bissau v Nigeria

Guinea-Bissau

WL

Nigeria

DWLDW

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 +4 6 WW
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 -1 3 LW
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 +5 4 WD
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 +2 4 WD
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 -1 3 LW
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 -6 0 LL
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 +4 6 WW
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 -4 0 LL
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 +6 6 WW
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 -5 1 LD
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 -1 1 LD
1 Congo DR 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 0 3 LW
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 -1 3 WL
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 -2 0 LL
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 +1 3 LW
4 Central African Republic 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 +2 4 DW
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 -1 3 WL
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 0 3 LW
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 0 2 DD
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 0 2 DD
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 -1 1 LD
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 +2 4 DW
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 -1 3 LW
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 +3 4 WD
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 -2 3 LW
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 -2 0 LL
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
3 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
1 Guinea-Bissau 2 2 0 0 +5 6 WW
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 -2 3 LW
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 -2 1 DL
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL

Managers: Guinea-Bissau v Nigeria

Paulo Torres
Guinea-BissauManagerPaulo Torres
É. Chelle
NigeriaManagerÉ. ChelleMali

Match information: Guinea-Bissau v Nigeria

Kick-off
·
Competition
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers
Round
Group Stage – 2
City
Bissau
Surface
grass
Capacity
20,000