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Harrogate Town v Tamworth

National League
Harrogate Town
3:1
Full time
Tamworth

Harrogate Town v Tamworth in National League ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Harrogate Town v Tamworth

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Harrogate Town at 56.0% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Harrogate Town X 2 · Tamworth Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 50.6% 24.5% 24.9% Home win · Harrogate Town ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 56.0% 16.4% 27.6% Home win · Harrogate Town ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Harrogate Town ✔ Correct
Final score 3:1 Home win · Harrogate Town
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.68 on a Harrogate Town win, 3.93 on the draw and 4.17 on a Tamworth win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Harrogate Town win 1.68 1.76 Pinnacle 59.5% 56%
Draw 3.93 4.05 Pinnacle 25.4% 16.4%
Tamworth win 4.17 4.75 Bet365 24% 27.6%
Over 2.5 goals 1.51 1.53 Pinnacle 66.2% 74.5%
Under 2.5 goals 2.36 2.43 Pinnacle 42.4% 25.5%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.54 1.62 Bet365 64.9% 66.1%
Both teams to score - No 2.31 2.38 BetVictor 43.3% 33.9%
Updated: 08.09.2026 05:14 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Harrogate Town v Tamworth

  1. 6′B. Milnes · Goal
  2. 16′B. Hobson · Goal (assist: J. Hmami)
  3. 31′L. Fairlamb · Substitution (off: R. Calder)
  4. 34′M. Roberts · Yellow card
  5. 40′M. Williams · Yellow card
  6. 40′S. McCoulsky · Yellow card
  7. 42′W. McGowan · Goal (assist: L. Cass)
  8. 45+1′D. Creaney · Yellow card
  9. 51′W. Burrell · Yellow card
  10. 62′B. Acquaye · Substitution (off: T. McGlinchey)
  11. 62′T. Bramble · Substitution (off: R. Howley)
  12. 63′J. Hmami · Goal (assist: W. McGowan)
  13. 68′M. Williams · Substitution (off: M. Craig)
  14. 73′W. McGowan · Substitution (off: G. Thomson)
  15. 74′S. McCoulsky · Substitution (off: B. Dolaghan)
  16. 74′J. Hmami · Substitution (off: C. McGuckin)
  17. 78′E. Bristow · Substitution (off: E. Taylor)
  18. 82′B. Milnes · Substitution (off: O. Dyson)
  19. 82′K. Donnelly · Substitution (off: N. Tshikuna)
  20. 86′N. Tshikuna · Yellow card
  21. 90′J. Rye · Yellow card

Line-ups: Harrogate Town v Tamworth

Harrogate Town

Starting XI

  1. 3 E. Bristow
  2. 4 A. Baptiste
  3. 6 W. Burrell
  4. 9 S. McCoulsky
  5. 11 W. McGowan
  6. 14 M. Williams
  7. 15 B. Hobson
  8. 16 S. Dreyer
  9. 17 J. Hmami
  10. 24 L. Cass
  11. 34 L. Hutchinson
Substitutes (7)
  1. 1 M. Oxley
  2. 7 G. Thomson
  3. 19 M. Craig
  4. 21 E. Taylor
  5. 23 B. Dolaghan
  6. 26 G. Horton
  7. 35 C. McGuckin

Tamworth

Starting XI

  1. 1 J. Singh
  2. 6 T. Bramble
  3. 7 B. Acquaye
  4. 8 B. Milnes
  5. 9 D. Creaney
  6. 10 K. Donnelly
  7. 11 L. Fairlamb
  8. 12 J. Rye
  9. 18 J. Cullinane-Liburd
  10. 26 H. Hollis
  11. 30 M. Roberts
Substitutes (7)
  1. 14 O. Dyson
  2. 16 R. Calder
  3. 19 T. McGlinchey
  4. 20 N. Tshikuna
  5. 23 J. Hutchinson
  6. 25 R. Howley
  7. 39 R. Lovett

Form and head-to-head: Harrogate Town v Tamworth

Harrogate Town

WWLDW
  • AScunthorpe2–0W
  • HGateshead2–1W
  • AAldershot Town1–3L
  • HBarrow2–2D
  • AWealdstone3–1W

Tamworth

LDLWL
  • HMiddlesbrough U211–3L
  • HBoston United2–2D
  • AYeovil Town2–3L
  • HWorthing3–2W
  • AFC Halifax Town1–4L

National League standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Boreham Wood 7 5 2 0 +8 17 DWWWW
2 Harrogate Town 7 5 1 1 +8 16 WWWLD
3 AFC Fylde 7 4 2 1 +7 14 WDWWL
4 Kidderminster Harriers 7 4 2 1 +5 14 WWDWD
5 Southend 7 4 2 1 +4 14 DWDLW
6 Aldershot Town 7 4 2 1 +4 14 WWDWD
7 Forest Green 7 4 0 3 +1 12 WWLLL
8 AFC Hornchurch 7 4 0 3 -1 12 LLWWL
9 Sutton Utd 7 4 0 3 -1 12 LLLWW
10 Yeovil Town 7 3 2 2 +1 11 LLWWW
11 Eastleigh 7 3 2 2 +1 11 DLDWW
12 Carlisle 7 2 3 2 +3 9 DLWDW
13 FC Halifax Town 7 3 0 4 +2 9 WLWLW
14 Hartlepool 7 3 0 4 -1 9 LWLLL
15 Altrincham 7 3 0 4 -5 9 LWWWL
16 Worthing 7 2 2 3 -1 8 DDLLW
17 Wealdstone 7 2 2 3 -2 8 WLWDL
18 Scunthorpe 7 2 1 4 -2 7 WLLWL
19 Woking 7 2 1 4 -2 7 WLDLW
20 Boston United 7 2 1 4 -2 7 LDLLW
21 Barrow 7 1 3 3 -1 6 DWDLD
22 Tamworth 7 1 2 4 -6 5 LDLWL
23 Gateshead 7 1 1 5 -8 4 LDLLL
24 Solihull Moors 7 0 1 6 -12 1 LDLLL

Managers: Harrogate Town v Tamworth

Simon Weaver
Harrogate TownManagerSimon Weaver

Match information: Harrogate Town v Tamworth

Kick-off
·
Competition
National League
Round
Regular Season – 7