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Heracles v De Graafschap

Eerste Divisie
Heracles
5:0
Full time
De Graafschap

Heracles v De Graafschap in Eerste Divisie ended 5:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Heracles v De Graafschap

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Heracles at 73.7% - the match finished 5:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Heracles X 2 · De Graafschap Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 54.5% 21.0% 24.5% Home win · Heracles ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 73.7% 13.6% 12.7% Home win · Heracles ✔ Correct
Final score 5:0 Home win · Heracles
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.47 on a Heracles win, 4.78 on the draw and 5.40 on a De Graafschap win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Heracles win 1.47 1.49 Pinnacle 68% 73.7%
Draw 4.78 5.00 BetVictor 20.9% 13.6%
De Graafschap win 5.40 5.75 BetVictor 18.5% 12.7%
Over 2.5 goals 1.29 1.31 Pinnacle 77.5% 78.9%
Under 2.5 goals 3.33 3.50 Bet365 30% 21.1%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.39 1.40 Marathonbet 71.9% 65.4%
Both teams to score - No 2.73 2.80 BetVictor 36.6% 34.6%
Updated: 04.09.2026 22:41 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Heracles v De Graafschap

  1. 2′Jean-Paul N'djoli · Goal (assist: Chafik Abbas)
  2. 23′Maurice Wrusch · Yellow card
  3. 41′Chafik Abbas · Goal (assist: Sem Scheperman)
  4. 45′Nart Ahmeti-Grainca · Substitution (off: Bjorn van Zijl)
  5. 62′Max Hauswirth · Substitution (off: Thomas Bruns)
  6. 63′Maurice Wrusch · Substitution (off: Mike te Wierik)
  7. 63′Kaya Symons · Substitution (off: Fedde De Jong)
  8. 63′Julian kania · Substitution (off: Kyano Kwint)
  9. 66′Nolan Martens · Yellow card
  10. 72′Tristan Van Gilst · Goal (assist: Thomas Bruns)
  11. 73′gabriele finocchiaro · Substitution (off: Jorn Triep)
  12. 76′Chafik Abbas · Substitution (off: David Tomic)
  13. 79′Nolan Martens · Substitution (off: Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff)
  14. 82′Jean-Paul N'djoli · Goal (assist: Sem Scheperman)
  15. 84′Djevencio van der Kust · Substitution (off: Stijn Bultman)
  16. 85′Tristan Van Gilst · Substitution (off: Mimeirhel Benita)
  17. 86′Manny Rodriguez Baldera · Yellow card
  18. 89′Ties Wieggers · Yellow card
  19. 90′Jean-Paul N'djoli · Penalty

Match statistics: Heracles v De Graafschap

Statistic Heracles De Graafschap
Possession 44% 56%
Shots on target 8 3
Total shots 16 5
Shots off target 4 2
Blocked shots 4 0
Corners 5 1
Fouls 14 13
Offsides 1 1
Yellow cards 2 2
Red cards 0 0
Saves 3 2
Passes 352 482

Line-ups: Heracles v De Graafschap

Heracles 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 F. de Keijzer 7.2
  2. 4 D. Mirani 7.5
  3. 5 D. van der Kust 6.6
  4. 7 C. Abbas 9.0
  5. 14 M. Wrusch 6.6
  6. 15 David Vicente 6.9
  7. 17 T. van Gilst 8.1
  8. 18 M. Hauswirth 6.2
  9. 25 Manny 6.6
  10. 27 J. N'djoli 9.3
  11. 32 S. Scheperman 8.2
Substitutes (12)
  1. 2 M. Benita 7.0
  2. 6 D. Tomić 6.8
  3. 9 V. Poppler
  4. 10 T. Bruns 7.3
  5. 16 T. Jansink
  6. 23 M. te Wierik 7.1
  7. 26 D. van Kaam
  8. 30 D. van Oorschot
  9. 33 L. Zeevalkink
  10. 35 S. Bultman 7.0
  11. 38 J. Wijnreder
  12. 80 F. Fofana

De Graafschap 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1 T. Wieggers 5.6
  2. 3 R. Besselink 5.9
  3. 8 D. Warmerdam 6.5
  4. 9 J. Kania 6.1
  5. 11 T. Mero 6.5
  6. 15 T. Kok 5.5
  7. 16 N. Martens 5.3
  8. 20 Gabriele Finocchiaro 6.4
  9. 21 K. Symons 5.4
  10. 24 J. Meerstadt 6.1
  11. 27 N. Ahmeti-Grainca 5.6
Substitutes (12)
  1. 2 J. Wieckhoff 5.5
  2. 7 Bjorn van Zijl 6.2
  3. 10 F. de Jong 5.8
  4. 14 Gijs Bolk
  5. 17 N. Kaninda
  6. 18 Denzel Eijken
  7. 22 P. Reverson
  8. 23 R. Jonkers
  9. 28 J. Triep 5.9
  10. 32 Tygo Grotenhuis
  11. 34 Nic Hartgers
  12. 40 Kyano Kwint 6.2

Form and head-to-head: Heracles v De Graafschap

Heracles

WWWWW
  • HJong AZ3–2W
  • AFC Eindhoven3–1W
  • AJong Utrecht6–1W
  • HDen Bosch3–2W
  • AVVV Venlo4–3W

De Graafschap

WLLLD
  • AEmmen2–1W
  • HAlmere City FC1–4L
  • AVVV Venlo1–2L
  • HJong AZ2–5L
  • AHelmond Sport1–1D

Managers: Heracles v De Graafschap

V. Heilmann
HeraclesManagerV. Heilmann
T. Duivenvoorden
De GraafschapManagerT. Duivenvoorden

Match information: Heracles v De Graafschap

Kick-off
·
Competition
Eerste Divisie
Round
Regular Season – 5
Venue
Erve Asito
City
Almelo
Surface
artificial turf
Capacity
13,500