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HNK Gorica v Varaždin

HNL
HNK Gorica
2:2
Full time
Varaždin

HNK Gorica v Varaždin in HNL ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: HNK Gorica v Varaždin

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Varaždin at 56.2% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · HNK Gorica X 2 · Varaždin Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 55.8% 23.0% 21.1% Home win · HNK Gorica ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 23.5% 20.4% 56.2% Away win · Varaždin ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Varaždin ✘ Missed
Final score 2:2 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.20 on a HNK Gorica win, 3.37 on the draw and 2.14 on a Varaždin win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
HNK Gorica win 3.20 3.45 Dafabet 31.3% 23.5%
Draw 3.37 3.50 Dafabet 29.7% 20.4%
Varaždin win 2.14 2.21 Pinnacle 46.7% 56.2%
Over 2.5 goals 1.97 2.02 Pinnacle 50.8% 54.5%
Under 2.5 goals 1.81 1.83 Marathonbet 55.2% 45.5%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.75 1.82 Betano 57.1% 50.5%
Both teams to score - No 1.96 2.01 1xBet 51% 49.5%
Updated: 09.09.2026 11:22 · Average odds across 7 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: HNK Gorica v Varaždin

  1. 16′frigan juraj · Yellow card
  2. 45′Kevin Custovic · Substitution (off: Filip Braut)
  3. 50′Tom Lacoux · Yellow card
  4. 53′Bruno Bogojević · Goal (assist: frigan juraj)
  5. 57′luka mamic · Goal (assist: Stipe Jurić)
  6. 57′Patrik Mijic · Substitution (off: Fran Brodić)
  7. 57′Tom Lacoux · Substitution (off: Ognjen Bakic)
  8. 62′Goncalo Costa · Substitution (off: ivan cvijanovic)
  9. 63′Ivan Canjuga · Substitution (off: Tomislav Duvnjak)
  10. 63′Stipe Jurić · Substitution (off: Valentin Akrap)
  11. 63′Iuri Tavares · Substitution (off: Emmanuel Uchegbu Chimeroucheya)
  12. 78′Mario Marina · Yellow card
  13. 81′Domagoj Pavičić · Substitution (off: Luka Vrzic)
  14. 85′Aleksa Latkovic · Substitution (off: Ivan Posavec)
  15. 85′Valentin Akrap · Goal
  16. 88′luka mamic · Substitution (off: Luka Skaricic)
  17. 90+5′ivan cvijanovic · Goal

Match statistics: HNK Gorica v Varaždin

Statistic HNK Gorica Varaždin
Possession 38% 62%
Shots on target 3 8
Total shots 9 20
Shots off target 3 9
Blocked shots 3 3
Corners 1 3
Fouls 12 12
Offsides 1 2
Yellow cards 2 1
Red cards 0 0
Saves 6 1
Passes 404 550

Line-ups: HNK Gorica v Varaždin

HNK Gorica 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 R. Josipović 7.1
  2. 4 K. Čustović 6.0
  3. 5 Gonçalo Costa 6.3
  4. 6 T. Lacoux 5.8
  5. 9 P. Mijić 6.4
  6. 15 D. Stevanović 6.0
  7. 24 D. Pavičić 6.4
  8. 25 B. Bogojević 6.5
  9. 32 J. Filipović 6.4
  10. 45 S. Perić 6.1
  11. 66 Juraj Frigan 7.4
Substitutes (12)
  1. 2 F. Braut 6.2
  2. 7 O. Bakić 5.9
  3. 8 J. Pranjić
  4. 10 F. Brodić 6.3
  5. 18 B. Kardum
  6. 20 L. Vrzić 6.6
  7. 26 Keenan Nino Carole
  8. 30 D. Žarkov
  9. 34 I. Cvijanović 7.8
  10. 50 A. Erceg
  11. 67 Tomislav Prgomet
  12. 71 D. Matijaš

Varaždin 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 9 S. Jurić 6.7
  2. 10 A. Latković 6.9
  3. 13 M. Mladenovski 7.3
  4. 16 N. Tepšić 6.8
  5. 20 G. Sikošek 6.4
  6. 22 L. Mamić 8.2
  7. 23 F. Maglica 7.7
  8. 24 M. Marina 6.5
  9. 28 I. Canjuga 6.5
  10. 33 J. Silić 6.1
  11. 38 Iuri Tavares 6.3
Substitutes (11)
  1. 1 R. McCrorie
  2. 3 E. Duraković
  3. 4 L. Škaričić 6.2
  4. 5 Sven Lesjak
  5. 8 T. Duvnjak 6.4
  6. 11 E. Uchegbu 6.6
  7. 12 P. Bočkaj
  8. 17 V. Akrap 7.7
  9. 21 I. Posavec 5.9
  10. 30 L. Posinkovic
  11. 44 M. Barać

Form and head-to-head: HNK Gorica v Varaždin

HNK Gorica

WLDLL

Varaždin

WDWLW

HNL standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Hajduk Split 7 5 1 1 +11 16 WWWWW
2 NK Osijek 7 5 0 2 +6 15 WLWLW
3 Varaždin 7 4 2 1 +6 14 DDWLW
4 Dinamo Zagreb 6 4 1 1 +7 13 LWDWW
5 Rijeka 6 3 2 1 +3 11 DWDWL
6 Istra 1961 7 2 3 2 +2 9 WDDLW
7 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 7 2 1 4 -4 7 DLLLL
8 NK Slaven Belupo 7 2 0 5 -9 6 LWLWL
9 Rudes 7 1 0 6 -14 3 LLLWL
10 HNK Gorica 7 0 2 5 -8 2 DLDLL

Managers: HNK Gorica v Varaždin

M. Carević
HNK GoricaManagerM. CarevićCroatia
N. Šafarić
VaraždinManagerN. Šafarić

Match information: HNK Gorica v Varaždin

Kick-off
·
Competition
HNL
Round
Regular Season – 7