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Holywell v Trefelin

Welsh Premier League
Holywell
1:1
Full time
Trefelin

Holywell v Trefelin in Welsh Premier League The match ended 1–1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics including xG, and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Holywell v Trefelin

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Holywell at 44.5% - the match finished 1:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Holywell X 2 · Trefelin Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 44.0% 26.4% 29.6% Home win · Holywell ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 44.5% 17.3% 38.1% Home win · Holywell ✘ Missed
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Holywell ✘ Missed
Final score 1:1 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.45 on a Holywell win, 3.73 on the draw and 2.28 on a Trefelin win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Holywell win 2.45 2.54 Pinnacle 40.8% 44.5%
Draw 3.73 4.04 Pinnacle 26.8% 17.3%
Trefelin win 2.28 2.36 Pinnacle 43.9% 38.1%
Over 2.5 goals 1.33 1.42 Pinnacle 75.2% 70.1%
Under 2.5 goals 2.81 3.00 Bet365 35.6% 29.9%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.32 1.40 Bet365 75.8% 62.9%
Both teams to score - No 2.91 3.11 1xBet 34.4% 37.1%
Updated: 04.09.2026 22:41 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Holywell v Trefelin

  1. 48′ · Yellow card
  2. 61′L. Phillips · Goal
  3. 67′L. Phillips · Substitution (off: D. Horgan-Evans)
  4. 72′J. Sconce · Substitution (off: O. Davies)
  5. 73′J. Reed · Substitution (off: M. Winslade)
  6. 82′H. Morris · Goal
  7. 90′R. Piper · Substitution (off: B. Aman)
  8. 90+1′F. Yonsian · Substitution (off: F. Murtas)

Form and head-to-head: Holywell v Trefelin

Holywell

LLLLL
  • ACambrian & Clydach1–2L
  • AAirbus UK2–6L
  • HCaernarfon Town3–5L
  • HBarry Town1–3L
  • ALlandudno1–3L

Trefelin

LLDLL
  • HPenybont0–1L
  • AHaverfordwest County AFC1–2L
  • HAmmanford AFC1–1D
  • HCaernarfon Town0–2L
  • AGAP Connah S Quay FC0–6L

Welsh Premier League standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 The New Saints 8 7 1 0 +16 22 WWWWW
2 Barry Town 8 7 0 1 +12 21 WLWWW
3 Caernarfon Town 8 6 0 2 +14 18 WWLWW
4 Penybont 8 5 3 0 +7 18 WWDDW
5 GAP Connah S Quay FC 8 5 1 2 +12 16 LDWWW
6 Llandudno 8 5 0 3 +5 15 LWLWL
7 Cardiff MET 8 4 2 2 +9 14 DDWWL
8 Colwyn Bay 8 4 1 3 -2 13 WLWLW
9 Airbus UK 8 4 0 4 +2 12 LWWLL
10 Cambrian & Clydach 8 3 3 2 +1 12 WDDLW
11 Haverfordwest County AFC 8 2 1 5 -8 7 WDWLL
12 Briton Ferry 8 2 1 5 -9 7 LLLLW
13 Flint Town United 8 0 2 6 -8 2 DLLDL
14 Trefelin 8 0 2 6 -16 2 LDLDL
15 Ammanford AFC 8 0 2 6 -17 2 LLLDL
16 Holywell 8 0 1 7 -18 1 LDLLL

Managers: Holywell v Trefelin

Johnny Haseldin
HolywellManagerJohnny Haseldin
Andy Hill
TrefelinManagerAndy Hill

Match information: Holywell v Trefelin

Kick-off
·
Competition
Welsh Premier League
Round
Regular Season – 7
Venue
Bartons North Wales Stadium
City
Holywell