Independiente del Valle v Deportes Tolima in CONMEBOL Libertadores ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Independiente del Valle v Deportes Tolima
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Independiente del Valle at 50.8% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Independiente del Valle
X
2 · Deportes Tolima
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
52.8%
28.3%
18.9%
Home win · Independiente del Valle
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
50.8%
25.1%
24.1%
Home win · Independiente del Valle
✔ Correct
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · Independiente del Valle
✔ Correct
Final score
3:1
Home win · Independiente del Valle
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.59 on a Independiente del Valle win, 3.92 on the draw and 6.28 on a Deportes Tolima win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Independiente del Valle win
1.59
2.50888Sport
62.9%
50.8%
Draw
3.92
4.23Pinnacle
25.5%
25.1%
Deportes Tolima win
6.28
7.00Betfair
15.9%
24.1%
Over 2.5 goals
2.12
2.25888Sport
47.2%
47%
Under 2.5 goals
1.71
1.78Pinnacle
58.5%
53.1%
Both teams to score - Yes
2.16
2.38Betfair
46.3%
47.9%
Both teams to score - No
1.63
1.83888Sport
61.3%
52.1%
Updated: 25.08.2026 20:53 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Independiente del Valle v Deportes Tolima
58′🟨A. Parra Osorio · Yellow card
59′⚽D. A. Romero Padilla · Goal
62′🔄S. Aguayo · Substitution (off: E. Lopez)
62′🔄J. Mosquera · Substitution (off: K. Florez)
65′🟨H. E. Martinez Yepez · Yellow card
67′🔄H. Quintana · Substitution (off: R. Briones)
70′⚽C. Gonzalez · Goal (assist: D. A. Romero Padilla)
74′🟨J. Sornoza · Yellow card
76′🔄H. E. Martinez Yepez · Substitution (off: J. Angulo)
76′🔄A. Parra Osorio · Substitution (off: L. Sanchez)
76′🔄E. Pata · Substitution (off: J. Angulo)
80′🟨S. Guzman · Yellow card
82′🔄C. Gonzalez · Substitution (off: D. Reasco)
82′🔄J. Sornoza · Substitution (off: J. Mendez)
82′🔄A. Rodriguez · Substitution (off: M. Perello)
84′⚽J. Hernandez · Goal
90+5′⚽M. Perello · Goal (assist: R. Briones)
Match statistics: Independiente del Valle v Deportes Tolima
Statistic
Independiente del Valle
Deportes Tolima
Possession
46%
54%
Shots on target
7
3
Total shots
20
11
Shots off target
11
4
Blocked shots
2
4
Corners
3
2
Fouls
3
11
Offsides
0
2
Yellow cards
1
3
Saves
1
4
Passes
386
461
Pass accuracy
87%
83%
Line-ups: Independiente del Valle v Deportes Tolima
Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1 Aldair Quintana 6.2
5 Richard Schunke 7.2
6 Jordy Alcivar 6.3
9 Carlos González 7.9
10 Junior Sornoza 7.2
13 Daykol Romero 7.7
14 Mateo Carabajal 7.2
17 Arón Rodríguez 7.2
19 Layan Loor 6.7
28 Hugo Quintana 6.9
31 Emerson Pata 7.6
Substitutes (12)
4 Jhon Espinoza
8 Youri Ochoa
11 Matías Perello 6.9
15 Gustavo Cortez
16 Ronald Briones 6.3
23 Juan Viacava
32 Jhegson Méndez 6.6
33 Andy Velasco
50 Juan Riquelme Angulo 6.3
52 Yandri Vasquez
70 Miguel Peralta
99 Djorkaeff Reasco 6.3
Deportes Tolima 4-4-2
Starting XI
1 Neto Volpi 7.2
2 Anderson Angulo 6.5
7 Jorge Hurtado 5.9
14 Homer Martinez 6.7
15 Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo 6.2
17 Cristian Arrieta 5.9
20 Junior Hernández 7.3
24 Adrián Parra 6.2
32 Sebastián Guzmán 6.2
33 Jherson Mosquera 6.3
71 Yordan Osorio 6.3
Substitutes (10)
4 Daniel Pedrozo
8 Ever Valencia
10 Luis Sánchez 6.7
11 Jader Valencia
16 Victor Reyes
18 Kelvin Florez 6.9
23 Gali Balanta
28 Edwar López 6.7
30 Shean Barbosa
70 Miguel Ortega
Form and head-to-head: Independiente del Valle v Deportes Tolima
