Instituto v San Lorenzo in Liga Profesional de Fútbol ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Instituto v San Lorenzo
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Instituto at 60.0% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Instituto
X
2 · San Lorenzo
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
54.7%
27.6%
17.7%
Home win · Instituto
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
60.0%
23.0%
17.0%
Home win · Instituto
✔ Correct
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · Instituto
✔ Correct
Final score
1:0
Home win · Instituto
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.89 on a Instituto win, 3.11 on the draw and 4.73 on a San Lorenzo win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Instituto win
1.89
1.93Betano
52.9%
60%
Draw
3.11
3.25Betano
32.2%
23%
San Lorenzo win
4.73
5.07Pinnacle
21.1%
17%
Over 2.5 goals
2.82
3.10Betfair
35.5%
44.3%
Under 2.5 goals
1.41
1.47Unibet
70.9%
55.8%
Both teams to score - Yes
2.41
2.63Betfair
41.5%
45.1%
Both teams to score - No
1.52
1.57Unibet
65.8%
54.9%
Updated: 31.08.2026 22:18 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Instituto v San Lorenzo
39′🟨J. E. Cordoba Mosquera · Yellow card
50′🟨I. Perruzzi · Yellow card
53′⚽G. Cerato · Goal (assist: M. Gallardo)
64′🔄I. Perruzzi · Substitution (off: M. Rio)
64′🔄J. Alvarez · Substitution (off: E. Salas)
64′🔄M. Reali · Substitution (off: F. Gulli)
65′🟨N. Tripichio · Yellow card
71′🟨E. Salas · Yellow card
73′🔄M. Gallardo · Substitution (off: J. Mendez)
73′🔄M. Tissera · Substitution (off: F. Suarez)
80′🔄J. Lazaro · Substitution (off: N. Guerra)
80′🔄J. E. Cordoba Mosquera · Substitution (off: J. Acevedo)