İstanbul Başakşehir v Kasımpaşa in Super Lig The match ended 1–1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics including xG, and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: İstanbul Başakşehir v Kasımpaşa
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · İstanbul Başakşehir at 57.4% - the match finished 1:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · İstanbul Başakşehir
X
2 · Kasımpaşa
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
56.2%
24.6%
19.2%
Home win · İstanbul Başakşehir
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
57.4%
24.6%
18.0%
Home win · İstanbul Başakşehir
✘ Missed
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · İstanbul Başakşehir
✘ Missed
Final score
1:1
Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.64 on a İstanbul Başakşehir win, 3.91 on the draw and 4.97 on a Kasımpaşa win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
İstanbul Başakşehir win
1.64
1.701xBet
61%
57.4%
Draw
3.91
4.10Unibet
25.6%
24.6%
Kasımpaşa win
4.97
5.25Bet365
20.1%
18%
Over 2.5 goals
1.74
1.791xBet
57.5%
53.9%
Under 2.5 goals
2.08
2.12Pinnacle
48.1%
46.1%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.73
1.76Unibet
57.8%
49%
Both teams to score - No
2.01
2.10Betfair
49.8%
51%
Updated: 30.08.2026 16:10 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: İstanbul Başakşehir v Kasımpaşa
3′🟨J. Opoku · Yellow card
13′🟨O. Kemen · Yellow card
18′⚽E. Shomurodov · Goal (assist: U. Bozok)
46′🔄G. Yalcin · Substitution (off: A. Kol)
46′🔄A. Dagbasi · Substitution (off: F. Diabate)
46′🔄A. Fayzullaev · Substitution (off: Y. Sari)
55′🟨C. Winck · Yellow card
64′🔄O. Kemen · Substitution (off: O. Ergun)
71′🔄E. Mendes · Substitution (off: M. Rafferty)
73′🔄U. Bozok · Substitution (off: D. Selke)
74′🔄A. Skov Olsen · Substitution (off: H. Gureler)
81′⚽F. Diabate · Goal (assist: A. Benedyczak)
87′🔄A. Karapo · Substitution (off: E. Boz)
90′🟨H. Gureler · Yellow card
Match statistics: İstanbul Başakşehir v Kasımpaşa
Statistic
İstanbul Başakşehir
Kasımpaşa
Possession
65%
35%
Shots on target
2
3
Total shots
12
12
Shots off target
7
6
Blocked shots
3
3
Corners
5
3
Fouls
11
13
Offsides
2
3
Yellow cards
3
1
Saves
2
1
Passes
641
358
Pass accuracy
88%
77%
Line-ups: İstanbul Başakşehir v Kasımpaşa
İstanbul Başakşehir 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
3 Jerome Opoku 6.5
8 Olivier Kemen 7.2
11 Abbosbek Fayzullaev 6.7
14 Eldor Shomurodov 7.0
16 Muhammed Şengezer 6.9
17 Umut Bozok 6.9
20 Umut Güneş 7.7
21 Christopher Operi 6.3
23 Emin Bayram 7.3
42 Ömer Ali Şahiner 6.3
70 Andreas Skov Olsen 7.0
Substitutes (10)
4 Onur Ergün 6.2
7 Yusuf Sarı 6.5
9 Davie Selke 6.6
15 Hamza Güreler 6.2
18 Jakub Kałuziński
19 Berkay Özcan
33 Michał Karbownik
77 Ivan Brnić
91 Bertuğ Yıldırım
98 Deniz Dilmen
Kasımpaşa 5-4-1
Starting XI
1 Andreas Gianniotis 5.9
2 Cláudio Winck 7.3
4 Adem Arous 6.6
9 Adrian Benedyczak 6.7
16 Andri Fannar Baldursson 6.7
26 Kerem Demirbay 7.2
27 Matei Ilie 6.6
30 Ahmet Taha Dağbaşı 6.2
45 Ayberk Karapo 6.9
50 Güven Yalçın 6.7
51 Elson Mendes 6.0
Substitutes (10)
7 Ali Yavuz Kol 6.3
8 Atakan Mujde
14 Kevin Mouanga
19 Marcus Rafferty 6.9
23 Sinan Alkas
24 Salih Arici
25 Ali Emre Yanar
34 Fousseni Diabaté 7.3
66 Emirhan Boz
99 Muhammed Bektaş
Form and head-to-head: İstanbul Başakşehir v Kasımpaşa
