Kilmarnock v Aberdeen

1:1

Full time

Kilmarnock v Aberdeen in Scottish League Cup The match ended 1–1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics including xG, and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Kilmarnock v Aberdeen

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Kilmarnock at 37.5% - the match finished 1:1 (decided on penalties), so the prediction was wrong.

Model	1 · Kilmarnock	X	2 · Aberdeen	Prediction	Result
ELO + Poisson	50.9%	25.0%	24.1%	Home win · Kilmarnock	✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)	37.5%	25.7%	36.8%	Home win · Kilmarnock	✘ Missed
Final score	1:1 (decided on penalties)			Draw

Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.71 on a Kilmarnock win, 3.32 on the draw and 2.43 on a Aberdeen win (closing odds).

Market	Avg odds	Best	Market %	Model %
Kilmarnock win	2.71	2.80 Betfair	36.9%	37.5%
Draw	3.32	3.50 Dafabet	30.1%	25.7%
Aberdeen win	2.43	2.50 Dafabet	41.2%	36.8%
Over 2.5 goals	1.95	2.00 Bet365	51.3%	52.8%
Under 2.5 goals	1.79	1.83 10Bet	55.9%	47.2%
Both teams to score - Yes	1.75	1.80 Bet365	57.1%	58.2%
Both teams to score - No	1.98	2.10 Betfair	50.5%	41.8%

Updated: 09.09.2026 17:24 · Average odds across 9 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Kilmarnock v Aberdeen

31′Daniel Happe · Yellow card
46′D. Daniels · Substitution (off: T. John-Jules)
46′M. Ntelo · Substitution (off: T. Olusanya)
52′K. Nisbet · Goal (assist: C. Ronan)
55′Aremu Afeez · Yellow card
58′Daniel Happe · Yellow card
58′Daniel Happe · Red card
58′T. John-Jules · Goal (assist: G. Kiltie)
64′A. Aremu · Substitution (off: A. Briedl)
64′C. Ronan · Substitution (off: G. Molloy)
70′E. Ring · Substitution (off: R. McKenzie)
76′Jamie Brandon · Yellow card
80′J. Brandon · Substitution (off: J. Meier)
85′G. Kiltie · Substitution (off: N. Clescenco)
91′S. Armstrong · Substitution (off: F. Marshall)
101′T. Lowery · Substitution (off: M. O'Hara)
110′K. Nisbet · Substitution (off: A. Mouloua)
116′C. Cadden · Substitution (off: J. Milne)

Match statistics: Kilmarnock v Aberdeen

Statistic	Kilmarnock	Aberdeen
Possession	50%	50%
Shots on target	6	3
Shots off target	6	2
Blocked shots	4	3
Corners	7	8
Fouls	14	16
Offsides	1	2
Yellow cards	3	3
Red cards	0	1

Line-ups: Kilmarnock v Aberdeen

Kilmarnock 4-1-3-2

Starting XI

1 M. Stryjek
2 J. Brandon
4 C. McCarthy
8 E. Ring
9 J. Hugill
11 G. Kiltie
14 G. Stanger
18 T. Lowery
21 M. Schjonning-Larsen
29 D. Daniels
36 A. Tshibola

Substitutes (9)

3 M. Kamara
5 M. O'Hara
7 R. McKenzie
10 T. John-Jules
12 C. Ferrie
19 J. Meier
20 N. Clescenco
27 I. Owen
49 B. Rice

Aberdeen 4-1-3-2

Starting XI

5 M. Knoester
15 K. Nisbet
17 S. Armstrong
23 L. Mayo
24 N. Guinness-Walker
25 C. Ronan
26 D. Happe
27 M. Muller
28 C. Cadden
31 M. Ntelo
32 A. Aremu

Substitutes (9)

7 T. Yogane
9 A. Mouloua
10 A. Briedl
11 L. Smith
20 T. Olusanya
21 G. Molloy
22 J. Milne
30 D. Klein
40 F. Marshall

Form and head-to-head: Kilmarnock v Aberdeen

Kilmarnock

DLLWL

5 Sep 2026AAberdeen0–0D
2 Sep 2026HSt. Mirren0–1L
29 Aug 2026HDundee United0–4L
14 August 2026HAyr Utd3–2W
9 Aug 2026HCeltic1–5L

Aberdeen

DLLWL

5 Sep 2026HKilmarnock0–0D
2 Sep 2026ACeltic0–3L
30 Aug 2026HRangers0–1L
15 August 2026HDundee3–0W
8 Aug 2026ADundee0–2L

Head-to-head – last 3 meetings

Kilmarnock wins: 1; draws: 1; Aberdeen wins: 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
5 Sep 2026	Aberdeen	0–0	Kilmarnock	Scottish Premiership
31 Jan 2026	Kilmarnock	3–0	Aberdeen	Scottish Premiership
14 Dec 2025	Aberdeen	2–1	Kilmarnock	Scottish Premiership

Scottish League Cup standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Managers: Kilmarnock v Aberdeen

KilmarnockManagerNeil McCann

AberdeenManagerS. Robinson

Match information: Kilmarnock v Aberdeen

Kick-off: Sat 12 Sep · 16:45
Competition: Scottish League Cup
Round: Quarter-finals
Venue: Rugby Park
City: Kilmarnock
Surface: artificial turf
Capacity: 18,128