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Lahti v Mariehamn

Veikkausliiga
Lahti
2:1
Full time
Mariehamn

Lahti v Mariehamn in Veikkausliiga ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Lahti v Mariehamn

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Lahti at 63.0% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Lahti X 2 · Mariehamn Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 49.7% 26.3% 24.0% Home win · Lahti ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 63.0% 19.5% 17.4% Home win · Lahti ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Lahti ✔ Correct
Final score 2:1 Home win · Lahti
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.54 on a Lahti win, 3.99 on the draw and 5.64 on a Mariehamn win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Lahti win 1.54 1.57 Bet365 64.9% 63%
Draw 3.99 4.15 Pinnacle 25.1% 19.5%
Mariehamn win 5.64 5.95 Marathonbet 17.7% 17.4%
Over 2.5 goals 1.77 1.81 Pinnacle 56.5% 52.3%
Under 2.5 goals 2.01 2.05 Bet365 49.8% 47.7%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.82 1.83 Marathonbet 54.9% 48.9%
Both teams to score - No 1.89 1.95 Bet365 52.9% 51.1%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:23 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Lahti v Mariehamn

  1. 38′Aaron Lindholm · Goal (assist: Tofol Montiel)
  2. 60′Jelle van der Heyden · Substitution (off: Leo Andersson)
  3. 61′Viktor Widlund · Substitution (off: Adam Stroud)
  4. 61′Arvid Bergvik · Substitution (off: Marlo Hyvonen)
  5. 64′Martim Ferreira · Substitution (off: Justus Ojanen)
  6. 64′Tofol Montiel · Substitution (off: Erik Andersson)
  7. 65′Adam Stroud · Goal
  8. 71′Noah Nurmi · Yellow card
  9. 75′Topias Inkinen · Substitution (off: Vaino Vehkonen)
  10. 80′Foster gyamfi · Yellow card
  11. 81′Romaric Yapi · Yellow card
  12. 83′Aaron Lindholm · Substitution (off: Amir Belabid)
  13. 83′Momodou Sarr · Substitution (off: Daniel Heikkinen)
  14. 87′Justus Ojanen · Goal (assist: Vaino Vehkonen)
  15. 89′José Müller · Yellow card

Match statistics: Lahti v Mariehamn

Statistic Lahti Mariehamn
Possession 57% 43%
Shots on target 6 3
Total shots 12 9
Shots off target 4 4
Blocked shots 2 2
Corners 2 9
Fouls 8 14
Offsides 0 1
Yellow cards 2 2
Red cards 0 0
Saves 2 4
Passes 564 273

Line-ups: Lahti v Mariehamn

Lahti 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 4 J. Muller 7.3
  2. 5 Nícolas 7.5
  3. 8 Tòfol Montiel 7.7
  4. 9 A. Lindholm 7.7
  5. 10 O. Koskinen 6.8
  6. 11 Martim Ferreira 6.5
  7. 18 Y. Cassubie 6.7
  8. 25 T. Inkinen 7.2
  9. 27 R. Yapi 6.9
  10. 31 O. Maukonen 7.2
  11. 77 M. Sarr 6.3
Substitutes (9)
  1. 6 V. Vehkonen 6.6
  2. 7 D. Heikkinen 6.4
  3. 12 A. Hakala
  4. 14 E. Andersson 6.5
  5. 17 A. Belabid 6.6
  6. 20 J. Ojanen 7.9
  7. 28 A. Kabashi
  8. 41 Aleksi Paalanen
  9. 44 L. Jarvinen

Mariehamn 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 K. Lund 6.5
  2. 2 N. Nurmi 6.2
  3. 5 T. Koivisto 5.4
  4. 8 J. van der Heyden 6.5
  5. 11 J. Svedberg 6.1
  6. 14 Arvid Bergvik 6.1
  7. 19 T. Jakobsen 6.1
  8. 20 E. Patut 6.3
  9. 23 V. Widlund 5.7
  10. 31 Samson Ngulube 5.4
  11. 53 F. Gyamfi 5.8
Substitutes (7)
  1. 3 A. Soiniemi
  2. 12 O. Heino
  3. 16 A. Huttunen
  4. 18 A. Stroud 7.7
  5. 26 M. Jansson
  6. 43 L. Andersson 6.3
  7. 64 M. Hyvönen 6.0

Form and head-to-head: Lahti v Mariehamn

Lahti

LWWLD
  • AIlves1–3L
  • AVPS1–0W
  • ASJK2–1W
  • HKuPS1–2L
  • AInter Turku0–0D

Mariehamn

WWWWL
  • HTurku PS1–0W
  • HFF Jaro2–0W
  • AKuPS4–2W
  • HSJK2–0W
  • AIlves0–2L

Head-to-head – last 4 meetings

Lahti wins: 2; draws: 1; Mariehamn wins: 1.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Mariehamn 0–2 Lahti Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn 0–1 Lahti Suomen Cup
Lahti 1–1 Mariehamn Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn 4–0 Lahti Finnish League Cup

Veikkausliiga standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 +15 43 LLWDW
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 +13 42 WDWDW
3 HJK Helsinki 22 11 4 7 +9 37 WLWWL
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 +7 36 DWWDL
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 0 34 DWLLW
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 +7 33 LWLWL
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 +7 32 WWLDW
8 Turku PS 22 8 7 7 +5 31 DDWDW
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 -3 25 LLLWL
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 -8 19 DLLDW
11 FF Jaro 22 3 6 13 -26 15 LLLLL
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 -26 14 WWWLL

Managers: Lahti v Mariehamn

Gonçalo Pereira
LahtiManagerGonçalo Pereira
R. Björknesjö
MariehamnManagerR. Björknesjö

Match information: Lahti v Mariehamn

Kick-off
·
Competition
Veikkausliiga
Round
Relegation Group – 23
Venue
Lahden Stadion
City
Lahti
Surface
grass
Capacity
14,465