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Liberia v Mali

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers
Liberia
0:1
Full time
Mali

Liberia v Mali in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers ended 0:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Liberia v Mali

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Liberia at 39.2% - the match finished 0:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Liberia X 2 · Mali Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 38.6% 28.2% 33.2% Home win · Liberia ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 39.2% 27.7% 33.1% Home win · Liberia ✘ Missed
Data Providers 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% Away win · Mali ✔ Correct
Final score 0:1 Away win · Mali
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 6.49 on a Liberia win, 3.72 on the draw and 1.48 on a Mali win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Liberia win 6.49 7.00 BetVictor 15.4% 39.2%
Draw 3.72 3.90 Betfair 26.9% 27.7%
Mali win 1.48 1.53 Betano 67.6% 33.1%
Over 2.5 goals 2.20 2.27 Pinnacle 45.5% 50%
Under 2.5 goals 1.62 1.65 Bet365 61.7% 50%
Both teams to score - Yes 2.32 2.40 Betfair 43.1% 53.1%
Both teams to score - No 1.54 1.55 William Hill 64.9% 46.9%
Updated: 29.09.2026 19:32 · Average odds across 9 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Liberia v Mali

  1. 22′Mohammed Sangare · Yellow card
  2. 64′Edward Ledlum · Substitution (off: P. Tarnue)
  3. 64′Sylvanus Nimely · Substitution (off: Peter Wilson)
  4. 75′Ousmane Camara · Yellow card
  5. 79′Ange Martial Tia · Goal (assist: Kamory Doumbia)
  6. 82′Ange Martial Tia · Substitution (off: Sekou Koita)
  7. 82′Kamory Doumbia · Substitution (off: Lassana Coulibaly)
  8. 83′Nene Dorgeles · Substitution (off: Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra)
  9. 83′Franklin·Nyenetue · Substitution (off: Sabastien Teclar)
  10. 83′Nohan Kenneh · Substitution (off: Divine Teah)
  11. 89′Lassine Sinayoko · Substitution (off: Modibo Sagnan)
  12. 90+2′Mamadou Sangare · Substitution (off: Ousmane·Diakite)

Match statistics: Liberia v Mali

Statistic Liberia Mali
Possession 36% 64%
Shots on target 1 2
Total shots 7 14
Shots off target 1 6
Blocked shots 5 6
Corners 3 8
Fouls 12 18
Offsides 1 2
Yellow cards 1 1
Red cards 0 0
Saves 1 1
Passes 276 495

Line-ups: Liberia v Mali

Liberia 3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 3 E. Fully 7.2
  2. 4 N. Kenneh 6.1
  3. 6 Salomon Tweh 7.2
  4. 10 A. Kosiah 6.1
  5. 11 S. Nimely 6.4
  6. 17 F. Nyenetue 6.5
  7. 19 O. Dorley 6.3
  8. 20 M. Sangare 6.7
  9. 24 S. Dweh 7.3
Substitutes (6)
  1. 1 Amos Wesseh
  2. 7 P. Martor
  3. 8 D. Teah 6.4
  4. 12 P. Tarnue 6.6
  5. 18 P. Wilson 6.1
  6. 21 Bryant Farkarlun

Mali 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 2 H. Traoré 7.3
  2. 7 N. Dorgeles 7.4
  3. 8 M. Sangaré 6.9
  4. 10 K. Doumbia 7.7
  5. 12 A. Tia 8.1
  6. 14 N. Gassama 7.8
  7. 15 D. Guindo 7.2
  8. 16 D. Diarra 7.0
  9. 17 L. Sinayoko 6.6
  10. 23 A. Dieng 7.2
  11. 25 O. Camara 7.5
Substitutes (11)
  1. 3 A. Danté
  2. 4 A. Haidara
  3. 5 C. Keita
  4. 6 O. Diakité
  5. 11 L. Coulibaly 6.8
  6. 13 M. Sagnan 7.0
  7. 18 M. Doumbia
  8. 19 A. Camara
  9. 20 S. Koïta 6.5
  10. 21 G. Diarra 6.7
  11. 22 M. Samassa

Form and head-to-head: Liberia v Mali

Liberia

LWLDL

Mali

WLDDD

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 +4 6 WW
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 -1 3 LW
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 +5 4 WD
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 +2 4 WD
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 -1 3 LW
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 -6 0 LL
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 +4 6 WW
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 -4 0 LL
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 +6 6 WW
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 -5 1 LD
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 -1 1 LD
1 Congo DR 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 0 3 LW
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 -1 3 WL
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 -2 0 LL
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 +1 3 LW
4 Central African Republic 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 +2 4 DW
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 -1 3 WL
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 0 3 LW
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 0 2 DD
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 0 2 DD
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 -1 1 LD
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 +2 4 DW
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 -1 3 LW
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 +3 4 WD
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 -2 3 LW
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 -2 0 LL
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
3 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
1 Guinea-Bissau 2 2 0 0 +5 6 WW
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 -2 3 LW
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 -2 1 DL
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL

Match information: Liberia v Mali

Kick-off
·
Competition
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers
Round
Group Stage – 2
City
Monrovia
Surface
grass
Capacity
12,000