Lincoln Red Imps v Larne in Europa Conference League ended 0:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Lincoln Red Imps v Larne
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Lincoln Red Imps at 51.1% - the match finished 0:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Lincoln Red Imps
X
2 · Larne
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
48.6%
26.6%
24.8%
Home win · Lincoln Red Imps
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
51.1%
25.5%
23.4%
Home win · Lincoln Red Imps
✘ Missed
Final score
0:2
Away win · Larne
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.98 on a Lincoln Red Imps win, 3.30 on the draw and 3.66 on a Larne win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Lincoln Red Imps win
1.98
2.02Dafabet
50.5%
51.1%
Draw
3.30
3.50Dafabet
30.3%
25.5%
Larne win
3.66
3.901xBet
27.3%
23.4%
Over 2.5 goals
2.00
2.071xBet
50%
51%
Under 2.5 goals
1.77
1.82Unibet
56.5%
49%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.79
1.83Bet365
55.9%
47.1%
Both teams to score - No
1.91
2.02Unibet
52.4%
52.9%
Updated: 20.08.2026 14:33 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Lincoln Red Imps v Larne
20′🟨M. Toledano · Yellow card
27′🟨S. Graham · Yellow card
29′🟥Y. Flalhi Idrissi · Red card
43′🟨M. Lusty · Yellow card
56′🔄A. Mula · Substitution (off: A. Romero Morillo)