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Lorient v Toulouse

Ligue 1
Lorient
2:2
Full time
Toulouse

Lorient v Toulouse in Ligue 1 ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Lorient v Toulouse

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Lorient at 69.1% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Lorient X 2 · Toulouse Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 51.9% 26.1% 22.0% Home win · Lorient ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 69.1% 15.5% 15.5% Home win · Lorient ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Toulouse ✘ Missed
Final score 2:2 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.63 on a Lorient win, 3.24 on the draw and 2.72 on a Toulouse win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Lorient win 2.63 2.75 1xBet 38% 69.1%
Draw 3.24 3.37 1xBet 30.9% 15.5%
Toulouse win 2.72 2.81 1xBet 36.8% 15.5%
Over 2.5 goals 1.99 2.06 1xBet 50.3% 65%
Under 2.5 goals 1.83 1.89 1xBet 54.6% 35%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.73 1.75 William Hill 57.8% 51.7%
Both teams to score - No 2.01 2.05 William Hill 49.8% 48.3%
Updated: 09.09.2026 23:25 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Lorient v Toulouse

  1. 17′Panos Katseris · Yellow card
  2. 37′Ibrahima Balde · Goal (assist: Panos Katseris)
  3. 39′Noah Mbamba · Goal (assist: Panos Katseris)
  4. 45′Rafik Messali · Substitution (off: Niko Sigur)
  5. 45′Santiago Hidalgo · Substitution (off: Casper Tengstedt)
  6. 48′Casper Tengstedt · Goal (assist: Cristian Casseres)
  7. 58′Panos Katseris · Substitution (off: Théo Le Bris)
  8. 58′Gabin Bernardeau · Substitution (off: Isak Jensen)
  9. 67′Ilyas Azizi · Substitution (off: Sion Oppong)
  10. 68′Thomas Jorgensen · Goal (assist: Cristian Casseres)
  11. 69′Ibrahima Balde · Substitution (off: Mamadou Kone)
  12. 69′Noah Mbamba · Substitution (off: Arthur Avom)
  13. 84′Niklas Schmidt · Substitution (off: Alexis Vossah)
  14. 84′Christ Tape · Substitution (off: Ismaïl Diallo)

Match statistics: Lorient v Toulouse

Statistic Lorient Toulouse
Possession 40% 60%
Shots on target 3 4
Total shots 9 13
Shots off target 4 6
Blocked shots 2 3
Corners 4 3
Fouls 8 17
Offsides 1 1
Yellow cards 1 0
Red cards 0 0
Saves 2 1
Passes 415 622

Line-ups: Lorient v Toulouse

Lorient 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 3 M. Talbi 7.0
  2. 8 N. Cadiou 6.5
  3. 17 J. Makengo 6.3
  4. 18 I. Baldé 7.8
  5. 20 D. Sylla 6.7
  6. 32 N. Adjei 6.9
  7. 33 G. Bernardeau 6.0
  8. 38 Y. Mvogo 6.1
  9. 43 K. Kouassi 6.3
  10. 72 N. Mbamba 8.0
  11. 77 P. Katseris 7.2
Substitutes (9)
  1. 2 A. Georgen
  2. 10 I. Jensen 6.5
  3. 11 T. Le Bris 6.2
  4. 15 A. Tosin
  5. 19 S. Faye
  6. 21 B. Kamara
  7. 42 M. Kone 6.4
  8. 55 N. Obaretin
  9. 62 A. Avom 6.3

Toulouse 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 3 M. McKenzie 6.6
  2. 5 S. Koumbassa 6.4
  3. 8 T. Jørgensen 7.4
  4. 9 S. Hidalgo 5.9
  5. 12 C. Tapé 6.5
  6. 13 J. Russell-Rowe 6.5
  7. 22 R. Messali 6.2
  8. 23 C. Cásseres 8.6
  9. 31 N. Schmidt 6.7
  10. 37 Y. Azizi 6.4
  11. 60 M. Niflore 6.0
Substitutes (9)
  1. 1 T. Collin
  2. 6 A. Vossah 6.0
  3. 7 Julián Vignolo
  4. 11 S. Oppong 6.8
  5. 14 N. Sigur 6.1
  6. 18 M. Amougou
  7. 19 D. Odogu
  8. 20 C. Tengstedt 7.5
  9. 94 I. Diallo 6.2

Form and head-to-head: Lorient v Toulouse

Lorient

WLDLW

Toulouse

LDLWL

Ligue 1 standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 LOSC Lille 4 3 1 0 +5 10 WWDW
2 Monaco 4 3 1 0 +4 10 DWWW
3 Rennes 4 3 1 0 +3 10 WWWD
4 Olympique Lyonnais 4 2 2 0 +4 8 DWDW
5 Paris 4 2 2 0 +4 8 DWWD
6 Strasbourg 4 2 1 1 +1 7 DWWL
7 Brest 4 1 2 1 0 5 LWDD
8 Paris Saint Germain 4 1 2 1 0 5 WLDD
9 Lorient 4 1 2 1 0 5 DWLD
10 Lens 4 1 1 2 +1 4 DLLW
11 Angers SCO 4 1 1 2 -1 4 DLWL
12 Troyes 4 1 1 2 -5 4 LLWD
13 Olympique Marseille 4 1 0 3 0 3 LLLW
14 Le Mans 4 0 3 1 -1 3 DDLD
15 Auxerre 4 1 0 3 -6 3 WLLL
16 Le Havre 4 0 2 2 -2 2 DLDL
17 Toulouse 4 0 2 2 -3 2 DLDL
18 Nice 4 0 2 2 -4 2 LDLD

Managers: Lorient v Toulouse

A. Dujeux
LorientManagerA. Dujeux

Match information: Lorient v Toulouse

Kick-off
·
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
4