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Maardu v Nõmme United II

Esiliiga A
Maardu
2:1
Full time
Nõmme United II

Maardu v Nõmme United II in Esiliiga A ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Maardu v Nõmme United II

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Maardu at 55.8% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Maardu X 2 · Nõmme United II Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 49.6% 22.4% 28.0% Home win · Maardu ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 55.8% 20.9% 23.3% Home win · Maardu ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Maardu ✔ Correct
Final score 2:1 Home win · Maardu
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.90 on a Maardu win, 3.88 on the draw and 2.95 on a Nõmme United II win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Maardu win 1.90 1.93 1xBet 52.6% 55.8%
Draw 3.88 3.94 Marathonbet 25.8% 20.9%
Nõmme United II win 2.95 3.04 1xBet 33.9% 23.3%
Over 2.5 goals 1.21 1.21 Marathonbet 82.6% 62.5%
Under 2.5 goals 3.58 3.58 Marathonbet 27.9% 37.5%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.23 1.23 Marathonbet 81.3% 62.9%
Both teams to score - No 3.56 3.61 1xBet 28.1% 37.1%
Updated: 06.09.2026 04:50 · Average odds across 3 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Maardu v Nõmme United II

  1. 34′V. Malinin · Goal
  2. 41′E. Kouadio · Goal
  3. 90+1′A. Volkov · Own goal

Form and head-to-head: Maardu v Nõmme United II

Maardu

WWLWL
  • HFCI Levadia II4–2W
  • ATallinna Kalev3–1W
  • AElva0–1L
  • HFC Tallinn1–0W
  • HViimsi1–2L

Nõmme United II

WWLLD
  • HViimsi1–0W
  • HTallinna Kalev2–1W
  • HElva0–1L
  • AViimsi1–4L
  • AFC Tallinn1–1D

Head-to-head – last 2 meetings

Maardu wins: 1; draws: 0; Nõmme United II wins: 1.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Maardu 2–1 Nõmme United II Esiliiga A
Nõmme United II 4–1 Maardu Esiliiga A

Esiliiga A standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Tartu Welco 27 17 4 6 +37 55 DLWWW
2 Viimsi 27 14 5 8 +23 47 LWWLW
3 Flora II 27 13 5 9 +16 44 LWDWL
4 Elva 27 13 5 9 +7 44 WWDWL
5 Maardu 27 12 5 10 -10 41 WWWLW
6 FCI Levadia II 27 12 1 14 +1 37 WLWLL
7 Tallinna Kalev 27 10 6 11 -2 36 DLLWW
8 FC Tallinn 27 7 7 13 -24 28 WLLDL
9 Nõmme United II 27 7 6 14 -15 27 LLLDW
10 Nõmme Kalju II 27 6 4 17 -33 22 LWLLL

Match information: Maardu v Nõmme United II

Kick-off
·
Competition
Esiliiga A
Round
Regular Season – 27