Manchester City W v Birmingham City W

FA WSL

Manchester City W v Birmingham City W in FA WSL ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Manchester City W v Birmingham City W

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Manchester City W at 51.4% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Manchester City W X 2 · Birmingham City W Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 53.7% 24.4% 21.9% Home win · Manchester City W ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 51.4% 7.4% 41.2% Home win · Manchester City W ✔ Correct
Data Providers 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% Home win · Manchester City W ✔ Correct
Final score 3:1 Home win · Manchester City W
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.06 on a Manchester City W win, 11.35 on the draw and 26.60 on a Birmingham City W win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Manchester City W win 1.06 1.06 William Hill 94.3% 51.4%
Draw 11.35 13.25 Marathonbet 8.8% 7.4%
Birmingham City W win 26.60 34.00 William Hill 3.8% 41.2%
Over 2.5 goals 1.16 1.20 Bet365 86.2% 57.3%
Under 2.5 goals 4.54 4.80 BetVictor 22% 42.7%
Both teams to score - Yes 2.11 2.20 Bet365 47.4% 51%
Both teams to score - No 1.65 1.70 William Hill 60.6% 49%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:19 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Manchester City W v Birmingham City W

  1. 46′L. Naalsund · Substitution (off: A. Miyagawa)
  2. 49′M. Fowler · Goal
  3. 55′K. Shaw · Goal (assist: K. Casparij)
  4. 57′W. Leidhammar · Substitution (off: C. Cornet)
  5. 61′K. Casparij · Substitution (off: I. Beney)
  6. 61′M. Fowler · Substitution (off: B. Mead)
  7. 72′V. Sarri · Substitution (off: C. Effa Effa)
  8. 74′L. Blindkilde · Substitution (off: S. Coffey)
  9. 74′A. Greenwood · Substitution (off: C. Wamser)
  10. 83′B. Mead · Yellow card
  11. 84′Lee Geum-Min · Substitution (off: S. Amano)
  12. 86′K. Shaw · Goal (assist: B. Mead)
  13. 90′O. Hurtre · Goal
  14. 90+3′C. Effa Effa · Yellow card

Form and head-to-head: Manchester City W v Birmingham City W

Manchester City W

WWWWW
  • AAston Villa W4–1W
  • ABrighton W4–0W
  • AChelsea W3–2W
  • ABirmingham City W1–0W
  • HSheffield United W4–0W

Birmingham City W

DLWWW
  • HBrighton W2–2D
  • HManchester City W0–1L
  • HChatham Town W8–0W
  • AHull City W6–2W
  • HSporting Khalsa W6–0W

Head-to-head – last 1 meetings

Manchester City W wins: 1; draws: 0; Birmingham City W wins: 0.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Birmingham City W 0–1 Manchester City W FA Women's Cup

FA WSL standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Manchester City W 2 2 0 0 +5 6 WW
2 Chelsea W 2 1 1 0 +5 4 WD
3 Liverpool W 2 1 1 0 +4 4 DW
4 Tottenham Hotspur W 2 1 1 0 +2 4 DW
5 Arsenal W 2 1 1 0 +1 4 DW
6 Crystal Palace W 2 1 1 0 +1 4 DW
7 London City Lionesses W 2 1 0 1 0 3 LW
8 Everton W 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
9 West Ham W 2 1 0 1 -1 3 WL
10 Brighton W 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL
11 Birmingham City W 2 0 1 1 -2 1 DL
12 Aston Villa W 2 0 1 1 -3 1 LD
13 Charlton Athletic W 2 0 0 2 -5 0 LL
14 Manchester United W 2 0 0 2 -6 0 LL

Match information: Manchester City W v Birmingham City W

Kick-off
·
Competition
FA WSL
Round
Regular Season – 1
Venue
Academy Stadium
City
Manchester
Surface
grass
Capacity
7,000