Manchester City W v Birmingham City W in FA WSL ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Manchester City W v Birmingham City W
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Manchester City W at 51.4% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Manchester City W
X
2 · Birmingham City W
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
53.7%
24.4%
21.9%
Home win · Manchester City W
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
51.4%
7.4%
41.2%
Home win · Manchester City W
✔ Correct
Data Providers
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
Home win · Manchester City W
✔ Correct
Final score
3:1
Home win · Manchester City W
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.06 on a Manchester City W win, 11.35 on the draw and 26.60 on a Birmingham City W win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Manchester City W win
1.06
1.06William Hill
94.3%
51.4%
Draw
11.35
13.25Marathonbet
8.8%
7.4%
Birmingham City W win
26.60
34.00William Hill
3.8%
41.2%
Over 2.5 goals
1.16
1.20Bet365
86.2%
57.3%
Under 2.5 goals
4.54
4.80BetVictor
22%
42.7%
Both teams to score - Yes
2.11
2.20Bet365
47.4%
51%
Both teams to score - No
1.65
1.70William Hill
60.6%
49%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:19 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Manchester City W v Birmingham City W
46′🔄L. Naalsund · Substitution (off: A. Miyagawa)
49′⚽M. Fowler · Goal
55′⚽K. Shaw · Goal (assist: K. Casparij)
57′🔄W. Leidhammar · Substitution (off: C. Cornet)
61′🔄K. Casparij · Substitution (off: I. Beney)
61′🔄M. Fowler · Substitution (off: B. Mead)
72′🔄V. Sarri · Substitution (off: C. Effa Effa)
74′🔄L. Blindkilde · Substitution (off: S. Coffey)
74′🔄A. Greenwood · Substitution (off: C. Wamser)
83′🟨B. Mead · Yellow card
84′🔄Lee Geum-Min · Substitution (off: S. Amano)
86′⚽K. Shaw · Goal (assist: B. Mead)
90′⚽O. Hurtre · Goal
90+3′🟨C. Effa Effa · Yellow card
Form and head-to-head: Manchester City W v Birmingham City W