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Modena v Avellino

Serie B
Modena
0:1
Full time
Avellino

Modena v Avellino in Serie B ended 0:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Modena v Avellino

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Modena at 54.6% - the match finished 0:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Modena X 2 · Avellino Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 47.3% 27.9% 24.7% Home win · Modena ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 54.6% 20.4% 25.0% Home win · Modena ✘ Missed
Data Providers 35.0% 35.0% 30.0% Home win · Modena ✘ Missed
Final score 0:1 Away win · Avellino
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.72 on a Modena win, 3.44 on the draw and 4.96 on a Avellino win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Modena win 1.72 1.75 Pinnacle 58.1% 54.6%
Draw 3.44 3.53 Pinnacle 29.1% 20.4%
Avellino win 4.96 5.46 Pinnacle 20.2% 25%
Over 2.5 goals 2.04 2.14 Pinnacle 49% 64.4%
Under 2.5 goals 1.76 1.79 Marathonbet 56.8% 35.6%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.92 1.95 William Hill 52.1% 57.7%
Both teams to score - No 1.79 1.82 1xBet 55.9% 42.3%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:11 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Modena v Avellino

  1. 8′Michele Besaggio · Goal
  2. 19′Andrea Favilli · Substitution (off: Walid Cheddira)
  3. 34′Francesco Zampano · Yellow card
  4. 38′Lorenco Šimić · Yellow card
  5. 45′Francesco Zampano · Substitution (off: Paulo Azzi)
  6. 45′Filippo Missori · Substitution (off: Tommaso Cancellotti)
  7. 45′Lorenco Šimić · Substitution (off: Michael Venturi)
  8. 63′Gastón Brugman · Substitution (off: Luca Bacchin)
  9. 65′Michele Besaggio · Substitution (off: Dimitrios Sounas)
  10. 76′Giuseppe Ambrosino · Yellow card
  11. 77′L. Di Maggio · Substitution (off: Thomas Berenbruch)
  12. 77′Giuseppe Caso · Substitution (off: Daniele Montevago)
  13. 86′Simone Santoro · Substitution (off: Kleis Bozhanaj)
  14. 86′Steven Nador · Substitution (off: Francesco Folino)
  15. 87′Kleis Bozhanaj · Yellow card
  16. 90′Tommaso Martinelli · Yellow card

Match statistics: Modena v Avellino

Statistic Modena Avellino
Possession 62% 38%
Shots on target 10 2
Total shots 43 6
Shots off target 20 3
Blocked shots 13 1
Corners 12 2
Fouls 17 12
Yellow cards 3 2
Red cards 0 0
Saves 2 10
Passes 495 317

Line-ups: Modena v Avellino

Modena 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1 L. Chichizola 6.7
  2. 6 S. Nador 7.0
  3. 7 F. Zampano 6.8
  4. 8 S. Santoro 7.1
  5. 10 G. Caso 6.4
  6. 16 G. Brugman 7.2
  7. 20 B. Nieling 7.6
  8. 42 A. Bianco 7.2
  9. 70 G. Ambrosino 7.3
  10. 72 G. Olzer 6.2
  11. 77 D. Tonoli 7.1
Substitutes (11)
  1. 9 D. Montevago 6.8
  2. 12 Andrea Maran
  3. 17 K. Bozhanaj 6.1
  4. 22 L. Consiglio
  5. 23 F. Folino 6.4
  6. 26 A. Imputato
  7. 27 Paulo Azzi 6.3
  8. 28 D. Adorni
  9. 29 L. Bacchin 6.0
  10. 32 W. Acquah
  11. 34 Diego Ronco

Avellino 3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 2 F. Missori 6.1
  2. 4 A. Izzo 6.7
  3. 8 L. Di Maggio 6.8
  4. 10 R. Russo 6.2
  5. 20 M. Palumbo 6.6
  6. 27 B. Moruzzi 6.0
  7. 39 M. Besaggio 7.8
  8. 44 L. Šimić 6.3
  9. 50 T. Martinelli 9.5
  10. 56 P. Enrici 6.7
  11. 99 A. Favilli 6.5
Substitutes (11)
  1. 1 A. Iannarilli
  2. 3 M. Sala
  3. 7 L. Pandolfi
  4. 9 W. Cheddira 6.4
  5. 14 T. Biasci
  6. 16 G. Faticanti
  7. 18 Thomas Berenbruch 6.5
  8. 23 M. Venturi 7.1
  9. 24 D. Sounas 6.4
  10. 29 T. Cancellotti 6.6
  11. 30 E. Adamo

Form and head-to-head: Modena v Avellino

Modena

DWWL

Avellino

DWLL

Serie B standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Mantova 4 3 1 0 +5 10 WDWW
2 Palermo 4 3 1 0 +4 10 DWWW
3 Südtirol 4 2 2 0 +3 8 DWDW
4 Avellino 4 2 1 1 +3 7 DWWL
5 Padova 4 2 1 1 0 7 WLDW
6 Modena 4 2 1 1 +3 7 DLWW
7 Ascoli 4 2 1 1 +1 7 LWDW
8 Cesena 4 1 3 0 +1 6 DDWD
9 Pisa 4 2 0 2 0 6 LWWL
10 Empoli 4 2 0 2 -1 6 LWLW
11 Arezzo 4 2 0 2 -4 6 WLLW
12 Vicenza Virtus 4 1 2 1 -2 5 DDLW
13 Benevento 4 1 1 2 0 4 WLDL
14 Virtus Entella 4 1 1 2 +1 4 WDLL
15 Cremonese 4 1 1 2 -2 4 DWLL
16 Hellas Verona 4 1 1 2 +2 4 LWDL
17 Catanzaro 4 1 0 3 -3 3 WLLL
18 Juve Stabia 4 1 1 2 -3 2 DLWL
19 Carrarese 4 0 1 3 -3 1 LLDL
20 Sampdoria 4 0 1 3 -5 1 LLLD

Managers: Modena v Avellino

D. Galloppa
ModenaManagerD. Galloppa
A. Nesta
AvellinoManagerA. Nesta

Match information: Modena v Avellino

Kick-off
·
Competition
Serie B
Round
Regular Season – 3
City
Modena
Surface
grass
Capacity
21,092